MLB Prop Bet Pick of the Day | World Series Game 1: Dodgers vs Rays

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MLB Picks + MLB Odds: World Series Game 1 | Dodgers vs. Rays

Tyler Glasnow Under 6.5 Strikeouts: +110 (BetMGM)  

It may have not been a normal MLB season, but we got through it and now the stage is set to crown a World Series champion. Both series had plenty of drama in the Championship Series, and now the Tampa Bay Rays and the Los Angeles Dodgers are looking to finish their run with a championship. Game 1 starts tonight with Tyler Glasnow taking on Clayton Kershaw, and the Dodgers are -175 favorites in this opening game.

Baseball isn’t as known for player props like the NBA or NFL are, but that doesn’t mean there is nothing to break down. There are plenty of odds on players to get a hit or a homerun, but I am looking at the pitchers today, specifically the strikeout totals. The Rays send Glasnow to the hill, and his strikeout total sits at 6.5 across the industry. I am going to take the under here, and there a few spots where I get plus money for backing that position.

World Series Game 1 MLB Picks MLB odds Tyler Glasnow Rays Dodgers

This postseason, Glasnow has a 2-1 record and a 4.66 ERA in four starts. He hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning or broken 100 pitches during this run, so if he struggles, we could see a move to the bullpen more quickly than expected. This is the opening game of the series, so the urgency will not be sky high with both teams feeling out the opponent.

Glasnow faced the Yankees and Astros, who are formidable opponents, but the Dodgers figure to be another stiff challenge. This season they have the fourth-lowest strikeout rate at 20.7% and average just eight strikeouts per game. In addition, the Dodgers have the fourth-most walks on the season, averaging almost four a game so they, will not hesitate to be patient and drive the pitch count up. With the tough Dodgers lineup, I feel like there are more paths to an early exit for Glasnow than for him to eclipse 6.5 strikeouts, and I am getting plus money to further drive home the point. I will lean to this opening game not producing a huge stat line from Glasnow, and +110 is clear value on this strikeout total prop.


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Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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