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NBA Picks + NBA Odds: Blazers vs Lakers
CJ McCollum U26.5 Points +106 (DraftKings)
The Blazers opened the playoffs with an impressive win against the #1 seed, but unfortunately all it did was wake up the Lakers. Since then LA has responded with three straight wins including blowouts in games 2 & 4. Now we get an elimination game that has the Blazers waving the white flag as Damian Lillard is out with a knee sprain. Even the few extra days between games was not enough to get Dame back and now the Lakers are poised to end this series in 5. This spread has ballooned to -13.5 and its hard to imagine the Blazers staying close in this spot.
With Lillard out CJ McCollum will be the focal point of the offense which means more volume, but I do not think that automatically means more scoring. The O/U on points for McCollum sits at a healthy 26.5 and its shaded to the over, so we get plus money if we go with the under here. If this game is a blowout he will be watching from the bench in the 4th and he should be the priority for the Lakers defense. McCollum has not been super aggressive with just 14 FT’s attempted through four games and he is just 10-28 from three-point range. Both of those will have to increase here if McCollum is going over this total, and with the under sitting at +106 that’s a good enough price for me to take a position.
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