NFL Prop Pick of the Day | Thursday Night Football Jaguars vs. Dolphins | Week 3

NFL Odds shopping is the best way to make sure you’re finding the best bang for your betting buck. Please enjoy our new, FREE website that shows you what each sports betting odds are in real time. You can sign up, track your bets, get notifications when a line moves and see how much money you’re making over time. Check it out right HERE. Lets get into the daily NFL Picks, including a prop bet from the Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins for Thursday Night Football.

NFL Picks + NFL Odds: Thursday Night Football | Jaguars vs. Dolphins

Ryan Fitzpatrick Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns: -124 (DraftKings)  

We get things started in Week 3 of the NFL with Thursday Night Football and a game between the Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars. This isn’t going to light the world on fire with two teams not expected to compete for much in 2020. Still, if they have any hope to make noise during this season these are the type of games you have to win against a gettable opponent. Currently Vegas has the Jaguars as a 3-point favorite at home with an over/under of 48.

Ben Rasa's bet of the day features and NFL Picks + NFL Odds from the Jaguars vs Dolphins NFL Thursday Night Football matchup on 9/24

There are a ton of props to choose from, but I am going to the Dolphins side of things with Ryan Fitzpatrick. His over/under on passing touchdowns sits at 1.5 with a slight lean to the over in the market. I like this position, and he is poised to do some damage against this poor Jacksonville secondary.

So far Fitzpatrick has been quiet, but there are some positive signs. The first obvious one is that he played the Patriots and Bills to open the season, both of whom have above average defenses and specifically secondaries. That may have impacted this line, and this is going to be by far the easiest matchup he has seen over the first three game. In addition, Miami still may be playing catchup so the volume should be there with this passing attack.

On the other side the Jaguars defense is going to struggle all year, and we’ve seen that so far this season. They did win in Week 1, but Philip Rivers still threw for 363 yards and last week Ryan Tannehill tore them apart with four passing touchdowns. That is going to be a common theme for opposing offenses as this secondary just doesn’t have the talent. With this prop around -124 across the industry, now is the time to buy. As we get closer to kickoff, this could actually trend upward given how good the opportunity is for Fitzpatrick tonight.


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Odds shopping is the best way to make sure you’re finding the best bang for your betting buck. Please enjoy our new FREE website that shows you what each sports betting odds are in real-time. You can sign up, track your bets, get notifications when a line moves and see how much money your’e making over time. Check it out right HERE.

Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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