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3 QUICK & EASY Darius Garland NBA Player Props & Expert Betting Picks Tonight | Thunder vs. Cavaliers 1/22/22

Henry John

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Free No House Advantage picks today and props for the Friday NBA DFS slate using expert projections & Awesemo's rankings tonight.

The lone nationally televised NBA matchup on Saturday night features two teams who aren’t typically granted such a spotlight. Oddly enough, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just one win away from going over their preseason NBA betting win total of 27.5. While the young Cavs have greatly exceeded expectations, the rebuilding Oklahoma City Thunder have also proven to be a profitable team for bettors as they own one of the best ATS records on the season to date. Saturday’s head-to-head clash should be a fun one to both watch and bet on. The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Thunder – Cavaliers matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for young Cavs star, Darius Garland.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Darius Garland in tonight’s matchup.

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Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Darius Garland

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Garland props below.

Under 9.5 Assists (-118, FanDuel)

One of the primary reasons why Darius Garland is quickly becoming one of the top young stars in the NBA is his playmaking capabilities. The 21-year-old is averaging a full 8.0 assists per game on the season. He has been even better recently, recording 11 helpers or more in five of the last six games. He has had a dozen assists in each of the Cavs’ two games this week and also dished a whopping 18 dimes exactly one week ago against the same Thunder team he will face tonight. Despite this, OddsShopper is showing that the NBA player props market is juiced towards the under on Garland’s assist prop of 9.5 ahead of this game.

While Awesemo’s projection of exactly 8.23 assists is higher than Garland’s per-game average, it also comes in over one full assist lower than tonight’s prop total. After an extended run of double-digit assist totals, regression to the mean figures to come sooner than later. At the best available odds of -118, Awesemo gives this under prediction both a massive ROI of 29% and a confident 70% win probability.


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Under 4.5 Rebounds (-148, FanDuel)

Over the Cavaliers’ last six games, Darius Garland has finished with at last five rebounds five times. Thus, he has been outperforming his season rebounding average of 3.4 per game by a substantial margin. Among the recent sample size was a five-rebound effort against OKC last weekend. The fact that there is nearly one full rebound of a discrepancy between Garland’s mean production and tonight’s NBA player props line of 4.5 results in value on the under.

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Awesemo officially projects the former No. 5 overall draft pick to finish with 3.46 rebounds in tonight’s matchup. Considering the talent Cleveland has in the frontcourt, it would be somewhat surprising to see Garland be extremely active on the glass against an inferior opponent. Further insight into the NBA betting outlook on this prop comes via OddsShopper. The tool shows one sportsbook listing Garland’s rebounding prop one notch lower at 3.5. Thus, bettors can score a solid 24% ROI by playing under 4.5 despite the best price still requiring -148 juice to be laid.

Under 20.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)

Once again, the NBA player props line of 20.5 points sits above the 19.8 that Darius Garland has averaged thus far in his third NBA season. Once again, there may be some recency bias baked into the number. Garland has scored 20 points or more in four straight games including 27 against the Thunder a week ago. It is worth pointing out that he has had no fewer than 19 shot attempts in each of the three games when he successfully cleared the betting total of 20.5. Will he see that many attempts in a potential blowout scenario tonight?

Awesemo’s projections peg him for only 18.76 points in. tonight’s game. This time, the NBA betting market disagrees. OddsShopper has varying amounts of juice trending to the over on Garland’s scoring prop. The result is a favorable +100 price and even-money return available on the under. This helps boost the ROI for this prop bet up to 19%.

 


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