The first of two nationally televised NBA games on ESPN tonight features two of the best point guards in the sport today. It should be a great game between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks, and finding some winning NBA prop bets will only add to the excitement. The revamped Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Warriors – Mavericks matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for Luka Doncic.
With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Doncic in tonight’s matchup.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Luka Doncic
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Doncic props below.
Under 25.5 Points (-105, PointsBet)
While Doncic’s per-game average of 24.9 points on the season is not far below tonight’s NBA player props line of 25.5, he has also fallen well short of both marks in each of his two games played since returning from COVID protocols. Double-digit assist totals were a much bigger contribution compared to his 14 and 21 points in the two games. Given that the Warriors are the best scoring defense in the league allowing only 101.5 points per game, it could be an uphill battle offensively for Doncic and the Mavericks tonight. It is interesting to note that OddsShopper shows the juice on this prop varies from sportsbook to sportsbook. At the current optimal price of -105, OddsShopper gives this under prediction a 9% expected ROI.
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Under 7.5 Rebounds (+114, FanDuel)
Our second featured NBA player props pick for Doncic comes with favorable +114 odds attached. Given that Dallas is shorthanded in the frontcourt with both Kristaps Porzingis and Willie Cauley-Stein unavailable, the NBA betting market has juiced the over on 7.5 total rebounds for Doncic tonight. While he is averaging 8.0 per game on the year and has topped this line in both games since returning, the plus-money odds make the under the preferred side in terms of betting value. Awesemo actually projects him to go slightly over the number (7.65 rebounds). However, the chance for increased profit results in an 8% ROI on the under.
Bettors should be sure to check in with OddsShopper for the best price in the market. Some sportsbooks still have this under listed at the standard -110 odds.
Under 8.5 Assists (-138, FanDuel)
Earlier in the day, the over on 8.5 assists for Doncic in tonight’s game had odds of +116. The NBA player props market has since moved the price down to +112, resulting in a diminished value and potential return. Contrary to the rebounding prop bet above, OddsShopper agrees with the juiced side for this assists wager. Although Doncic has recorded 10 and 15 assists in each of the two games since rejoining the lineup, neither of those outings came against top-tier defensive opponents. Golden State certainly falls into that category tonight. Therefore, it seems logical to bet Doncic to stay under a line that is fairly close to his per-game average of 8.8 assists. Bettors might also find it helpful to wait until closer to tip-off to make this bet as the odds might continue to move in favor of a better return.
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