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3 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Alec Burks & Bobby Portis 3/22/22

Henry John



Although there are only four games on Tuesday’s NBA schedule, two of them will garner the national TV spotlight. While reduced volume can make it tougher for bettors to find advantageous plays, there are always NBA props to consider. In fact, tonight’s lighter offering of games affords the opportunity to delve deeper into each matchup that is on the card. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Tuesday’s action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Alec Burks Under 6.5 Rebounds (-130, Caesars)

Compared to most shooting guards, Alec Burks has been a solid contributor on the glass for the New York Knicks. Since taking on additional minutes as a starter, Burks has provided consistent rebounding production. Over the last 10 games, he has totaled five rebounds or more on nine occasions. With that being said, Burks has only managed to clear tonight’s lofty NBA player props total of 6.5 boards three times over that same span. 

Undoubtedly, one of the reasons why Burks’ NBA betting prop total is set nearly two full boards above his per-game average of 4.8 is that the Knicks will be playing without big man Julius Randle tonight. This will lead to other players having to step up on the glass. Despite this, OddsShopper shows that the market has juiced this prop bet heavily to the under. Furthermore, one sportsbook lists Burks’ rebounding total one board lower at 5.5.

Considering that he has only exceeded the higher mark once in the last eight games, it would certainly be abnormal from a standard production standpoint for him to do so tonight. The opposing Atlanta Hawks are not the best rebounding team in the NBA, but they certainly are not the worst. Even with the -130 juice required to bet the under, Awesemo still gives this prediction an 18% ROI value.

Bobby Portis Over 7.5 Rebounds (-122, FanDuel)

One of the key elements to note right away when arguing for Bobby Portis to go over his NBA betting rebounds total is the discrepancy that exists in the market. OddsShopper actually shows that a line of 7.5 total rebounds for the Milwaukee Bucks‘ center is tough to find. Only one sportsbook is currently offering this total while the rest of the market sits one full rebound higher at 8.5. Considering that Portis has averaged 9.1 rebounds per game on the season, his statistics would certainly suggest that he is more than capable of exceeding this total.

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Bettors must also consider the fact that the Bucks’ frontcourt has evolved as the season has progressed. The return of Brook Lopez from injury along with the addition of Serge Ibaka has helped to expand the depth. However, Portis still remains atop the depth chart. He is averaging just under 29 minutes per game on the season and has largely hovered right around that mark recently. The most likely reason for this alternate low rebounding total is the fact that Portis has finished with seven boards or less in six of the last nine games.

In terms of rebound rate, the Bucks grade much better than tonight’s opponent, the Chicago Bulls. Add in the implications of this game as far as the standings are concerned and Portis will have reason to show out. Awesemo’s projections give the over a 69% win probability to go along with a hefty 26% expected ROI when the wager is made using the optimal line.

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Ivica Zubac Over 10.5 Points (-116, FanDuel)

Los Angeles Clippers center Ivica Zubac has seen his strong run of play come to a screeching halt in the team’s last two games. After scoring in double figures in six of eight contests, Zubac was held to a mere two and nine points in the last two games, respectively. Diminished playing time and shot attempts were two major culprits of the poor showings. Even so, Zubac is still averaging 24.5 minutes and shooting better than 62% from the field on the season. Considering that tonight’s opponent, the Denver Nuggets, have allowed 23.0 points per game to opposing centers, this will presumably be a good opportunity for Zubac to exceed his own per-game scoring average of 10.2.

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One factor that has led to inconsistency in Zubac’s statistical production is the variance Clippers coach Tyronn Lue has deployed with his center rotation. The last two dud performances came right after Zubac achieved three straight double-doubles while playing 30+ minutes in each game. Assuming he receives at or more than his average playing time tonight, bettors have to like his chances of clearing the NBA player props threshold.

Once again, OddsShopper is showing some discrepancy in the NBA betting market when it comes to player props today. The favorable line of 10.5 points for Zubac tonight actually sits one point lower than the over/under of 11.5 that the majority of sportsbooks are offering. Awesemo is projecting Zubac to score exactly 12.54 points in tonight’s game. This results in a 63% win probability for the over. When one obtains optimal -116 odds, the ROI for this wager comes in at 18%. 

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