3 MUST BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Jimmy Butler & Kevin Porter Jr. 1/21/22

Another loaded NBA slate is lined up for Friday with 11 games on the schedule. There is nothing like a massive basketball night to kickstart a loaded sports weekend. The volume of games also makes this an intriguing slate for NBA betting purposes. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for Friday’s NBA action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Tonight

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

In New York? Do not forget to check out Alex Baker’s article on how to MAXIMIZE your sportsbook bonus.

Jimmy Butler Under 7.5 Assists (+130, Caesars)

With Kyle Lowry set to miss tonight’s game due to personal reasons, Jimmy Butler figures to take on increased ball-handling and point guard responsibilities in his absence. To his credit, Butler has also recorded a pair of 10-assist efforts and has finished with no fewer than nine assists in three of the Heat’s last four games. All of this adds up to the NBA player props market listing his assist total nearly two full tallies higher than the 5.8 Butler has averaged per game this season. On top of that, OddsShopper shows that the market is heavily juiced towards the over.

Considering the statistical discrepancy between Butler’s per-game assists average and tonight’s NBA betting total, it is no surprise that OddsShopper prefers the under. A projection of 6.49 assists sits one below the prop total and comes with a high expected win probability of 70%. The prediction becomes all the more worth it when we factor in the plus-money odds along with it. Bettors are advised to reference OddsShopper before placing this wager as there is a wide gap in prices across the market. Current optimal odds of +130 are up to 30 cents better value than alternative offerings. At that price, this prop carries an astounding 62% expected ROI.


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Mike Conley Under 4.5 Rebounds (-154, FanDuel)

Coming into Friday, Utah Jazz point guard Mike Conley is only averaging 3.0 rebounds per game. Thus, it is somewhat of a surprise to find OddsShopper displaying a disagreement between sportsbooks on his rebounding total for tonight’s matchup. While the consensus line of 3.5 total boards makes sense, the deviated total of 4.5 is certainly on the high side. While Conley did have a run of six straight games exceeding his rebounding average to begin the 2022 calendar year, he has since finished with three boards or less in four straight contests. Aside from the opponent Detroit Pistons having the second-worst rebound rate of any team, there is not a whole lot to suggest Conley will surpass the elevated NBA player props line.

OddsShopper is extremely confident that Conley will stay under 4.5 boards in tonight’s game. In fact, a projection of 3.20 rebounds also lands below the consensus NBA betting total of 3.5. With this game having a massive 14-point spread, a potential Jazz blowout could also result in Conley playing fewer minutes. Even though playing under 4.5 rebounds requires bettors to lay -154 odds, OddsShopper still gives this wager a massive 31% expected ROI.

Kevin Porter Jr. Under 13.5 Points (-112, SugarHouse)

After suffering a stunning upset loss last night, one has to believe that the Golden State Warriors will come to play in the second game of a back-to-back this evening. Considering that the Dubs lead the NBA in defensive efficiency allowing only 99.9 points per 100 possessions, tonight figures to be an uphill battle offensively for the Houston Rockets. This includes guard Kevin Porter Jr. While he has scored no fewer than 15 points in each of the last four games, he is still only averaging 13.0 on the season overall. Against stout defensive teams like the Warriors, it makes sense to explore betting under on scoring NBA player props. In this case, we are also getting a line that is half a point higher than Porter’s average scoring output for the season.

Awesemo projects Porter to finish with 12.06 points tonight. The resulting statistical discrepancy between the projection and the NBA betting total yields a win probability of 60%. While OddsShopper does not show massive juice leaning one way or the other on this prop, the odds do fluctuate a fair bit between sportsbooks. The optimal price of -112 is up to eight cents better value than others in the market. OddsShopper gives this under prediction a 13% ROI at the preferred odds.

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