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3 MUST-BEST NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Josh Hart & Gabe Vincent 3/7/22

Henry John

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Intriguing matchups abound on Monday night’s NBA card. From the Eastern Conference clash between the Chicago Bulls and Philadelphia 76ers to the battle out west between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks, stakes continue to rise as the postseason draws ever closer. In total, there are eight games on tonight’s slate, all of which are worth exploring when it comes to NBA props and betting picks. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Monday evening’s action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points (-110, FanDuel)

Backup Miami Heat point guard Gabe Vincent has picked things up in a big way offensively of late. The pride of UC Santa Barbara, Vincent has scored in double figures in four of the last five games while filling in for injured starter Kyle Lowry. The stretch includes a pair of 20-point performances and has featured him knocking down at least four 3-pointers on three separate occasions. It makes sense that an uptick in playing time would lead to more scoring production, however, Vincent has also benefitted from having a hot hand. As a result, it makes sense to look over the NBA player props line of 9.5 for tonight’s game.

While Monday’s NBA betting scoring total for Vincent is right in line with his season average, one can safely assume that he will continue to exceed that mark so long as Lowry remains out. The other key factor worth noting here is tonight’s opponent. Bettors can operate under the assumption that all Heat scorers will benefit from playing against the Houston Rockets. Coming into the day, Houston ranks dead last in defensive efficiency allowing a whopping 114.2 points per 100 possessions. Awesemo officially tabs Vincent to score 11.90 points in tonight’s matchup. Bettors can use OddsShopper to find where optimal -110 odds are being offered in the market. At this price, the ROI value for this prop bet is set at 26%.


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Josh Hart Under 7.5 Rebounds (-125, Caesars)

Things just keep getting worse for the Portland Trail Blazers. Neither Damian Lillard nor Jusuf Nurkic is expected back on the court anytime soon. On top of those losses, the Blazers will also be without Anfernee Simons on Monday night. This leaves Josh Hart, who came over in the C.J. McCollum trade prior to the deadline, as really the only healthy player in tonight’s lineup who would be starting for the majority of teams. As a result, NBA player props oddsmakers have beefed up Hart’s totals for tonight’s contest. Despite only averaging 5.2 rebounds per game this season, Hart’s NBA props line is set at 7.5 today.

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While Hart has played at least 27 minutes in five of six games since joining the Trail Blazers, he has failed to eclipse seven total rebounds in any of those outings. One could also argue that the absence of Simons will lead to Hart spending more time in the backcourt handling the ball as opposed to crashing the boards. OddsShopper fittingly shows that the NBA betting market is juiced to the under on this lofty prop expectation. Even with extra juice required, Awesemo still favors that side at an optimal -125 price. An exact projection of only 6.23 rebounds results in a 71% win probability for the under along with a solid 28% expected ROI at the preferred odds.

Reggie Bullock Under 12.5 Points (+102, FanDuel)

Despite logging no fewer than 34 minutes in each of the Dallas Mavericks‘ five games since the All-Star break, Reggie Bullock has only scored more than a dozen points once. When putting this up against tonight’s NBA player props line of 12.5, there is a clear lean towards the under in terms of his recent performance. In fact, one could extend that trend out over the full season thus far. Bullock has only averaged 8.4 points per game coming into Monday night’s battle against the Utah Jazz. While the veteran has an ability to pile up points in a hurry thanks to his 3-point shooting, Utah ranks top-10 defensively in opponent shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Tonight’s matchup does not figure to lend Bullock any favors.

In addition to that 3-point shooting statistic, the Jazz have actually been moving up the defensive efficiency rankings recently as well. If the last handful of games are any indication, even Bullock’s 3-point shooting may not be enough to help him eclipse the NBA betting total. In the five games since the break, Bullock has knocked down at least three triples on three occasions. Only one of those games saw him top 12 points. Despite the uphill battle he appears to be facing, OddsShopper shows that bettors can obtain plus-money odds on the under for this prop. The optimal +102 price yields a massive 22-cent advantage compared to other sportsbooks. With an exact prediction for Bullock to score 11.61 points this evening, Awesemo’s projections have set this prop’s ROI at 13%.

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