After a massive NBA slate yesterday, Thursday is shaping up to be a rather quiet one. Only three total games are scheduled across the league this evening. Nonetheless, there will still be plenty of star players in action and several worthwhile NBA betting picks and props to consider. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.
With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for Thursday night’s NBA tripleheader.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Tonight
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!
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Kemba Walker Under 3.5 Rebounds (+100, DraftKings)
In what has been a tumultuous season thus far, Kemba Walker has averaged 3.5 rebounds per game. That number matches tonight’s NBA player props total for Walker exactly. In his first game back from a knee injury on Tuesday, Walker finished with just two boards in 30 minutes of action. Other than scoring, it has been difficult to trust Walker to produce in any other statistical category consistently this season. Knowing that Tom Thibodeau could opt to yank him from any game at any given moment, one has to question whether he will even have the opportunity to corral the four rebounds needed to go over his NBA props total.
With OddsShopper showing +100 odds available on the under, it views this as a worthwhile pick tonight. The Knicks do face a New Orleans Pelicans outfit that ranks among the top five teams in rebound rate on the season. While the Pelicans have not been the most successful on the scoreboard, they certainly have multiple proven rebounders. While Awesemo’s projection of 3.44 rebounds for Walker tonight does not offer much of a statistical edge, the even-money price helps the overall value on this prop. At the preferred odds, the expected ROI has been determined to be 12%.
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Jalen Brunson Over 4.5 Assists (-127, SugarHouse)
Jalen Brunson played so well when starting in place of Luka Doncic that he has remained a fixture of the Dallas Mavericks lineup. Considering that Doncic logged 42 minutes in last night’s game, bettors have reason to believe that Brunson could have increased opportunities to operate as the playmaker in tonight’s matchup. Even with Doncic back in the mix, Brunson has still exceeded his per-game average of 5.6 assists in four of the last seven games. With the NBA player props line posting his total at just 4.5 total helpers ahead of tonight’s game, there’s an argument to be made that this is a buy-low opportunity.
While Brunson and the Mavs will have to contend with a Phoenix Suns team that ranks second in defensive efficiency on the season, OddsShopper is still inclined to look towards the over. A projection of 5.30 assists results in a fairly confident expected win probability of 61%. In addition, OddsShopper lists some sportsbooks offering Brunson’s assist prop one notch higher at 5.5. Thus there is good reason to believe that he could clear the preferred line of 4.5 and then some. While some additional juice must be laid, OddsShopper still assigns this over prediction a 9% ROI at -127 odds.
Kevon Looney Under 9.5 Rebounds (-143, BetMGM)
Kevon Looney has absolutely feasted on the glass in each of the Golden State Warriors‘ last three games. He notched double-digit rebound totals in all three contests and posted a full dozen in two of them. Needless to say, Looney has been outperforming his per-game average of 7.0 boards by a pretty remarkable clip. Tonight, the Warriors take on an Indiana Pacers team that will be playing for the second straight day. Thus, there are a few angles to consider with regard to Looney’s rebounding prop total of 9.5. First, a potential blowout could lead to the Golden State starters seeing reduced playing time. However, if the Pacers have the legs to compete, Looney will be challenged on the boards in a matchup against the team with the sixth-best rebounding rate in the NBA.
Even with Draymond Green set to remain on the sidelines tonight, betting under an NBA player props line that sits 2.5 rebounds higher than Looney’s season average is certainly the way to go. Once again, OddsShopper keys us in on a discrepancy regarding this betting total across the market. Some sportsbooks do list this prop down one rebound lower at 8.5. It comes as no surprise that some extra juice is required to bet under the preferred number. OddsShopper is not backing off at the preferred odds of -143. The projections still give this under bet a healthy 18% ROI to go along with a 69% win probability.
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