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3 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Royce O’Neale & Kevin Porter Jr. 3/25/22

Henry John



Tonight's NBA DFS picks, DraftKings and FanDuel news, notes & lineups, as well as look at the day's betting picks & player props 4/21/22.

In total, seven games comprise Friday evening’s action in the NBA. Tonight’s national TV doubleheader is also a fun one, featuring a pair of cross-conference matchups. What better way to kickstart the weekend than with some winning NBA betting picks and props? With half of the league in action, there are certainly plenty of opportunities for bettors to get involved tonight. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Friday night’s hoops action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Royce O’Neale Over 2.5 Assists (+130, FanDuel)

When it comes to finding NBA betting value, it is important to keep in mind that the price of a particular NBA props offering is just as important as the line itself. One play on Friday’s menu that reflects this is the total assists prop for Utah Jazz forward Royce O’Neale. On the season, he has dished out an average of 2.6 helpers per game. This average falls right in line with the NBA player props line of 2.5 for tonight’s game. However, OddsShopper shows favorable prices available on this prop, with a +120 return highlighting the list.

When breaking down this handicap, one cannot dismiss O’Neale’s recent performances. Over the last 10 games, he has surpassed this NBA betting total five times, good for a 50% rate. Furthermore, he has had at least two assists in each of those 10 games. Even when he has not cashed the over, he has still been coming very close. The range of outcomes has been small, which is a positive sign. In addition, the fact that the Jazz face one of the worst defensive teams in the league tonight in the Charlotte Hornets should only add to a bettor’s confidence.

Awesemo projects O’Neale to finish with exactly 2.82 assists in tonight’s game. While this projection does not yield a massive statistical edge, the fact that it lines up with the plus-money price for this prop is huge when it comes to the overall value of the bet. The current optimal price of +130 results in a 22% expected ROI for this over prediction. OddsShopper also shows that this favorable price carries up to 15 cents better value than other offerings in the market.

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Jarred Vanderbilt Over 7.5 Rebounds (-120, PointsBet)

Minnesota Timberwolves big man Jarred Vanderbilt has quietly been one of the team’s most impressive contributors this season. It was just two nights ago that he supplied a massive 12-point, 12-rebound double-double line. The fact that he did so in a modest 26 minutes of action makes the effort all the more impressive. While that game was the first in a while that Vanderbilt has scored in double figures, his rebounding production has held quite steady all season long.

Vanderbilt has finished with no less than eight boards in each of the last four games. On Monday against the same Dallas Mavericks team that Minnesota faces tonight, he still managed to corral eight total rebounds despite playing only 15 minutes. On the season overall, he is averaging 8.8 rebounds per game. This mark sits over one full board above tonight’s NBA player props total of 7.5. Knowing that the Mavs join the Timberwolves in being a sub-par rebounding team, one has to be bullish about Vanderbilt’s potential again in today’s matchup.

OddsShopper shows that the NBA betting market is juiced slightly towards the over for this prediction. Despite needing to pay a bit higher price than is standard, Awesemo’s projections are still keen on that side of this prop. Officially, the projections tab Vanderbilt for exactly 8.71 rebounds. This results in a 64% win probability to go along with an 18% ROI when this bet is made using optimal -120 odds.

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Kevin Porter Jr. Over 15.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)

It may not be the most appealing matchup on paper, but fans of offensive basketball may want to tune into the Houston Rockets‘ matchup with the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. After all, these are the two worst defensive teams in the NBA. With a fast pace and plenty of offense expected, it makes sense to look at betting over the NBA player props total for Rockets guard Kevin Porter Jr. Although the current line of 15.5 points is over 1.5 higher than Porter’s per-game average of 13.9, there are multiple aspects working in his favor this evening.

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First and foremost, bettors can count on Porter to see ample minutes and shot attempts. While his shooting percentages have been streaky all season long, one has to believe he can exploit the favorable matchup tonight. The Trail Blazers have surrendered 113.2 points per 100 possessions on the year and are literally deploying a backcourt of no-names down the stretch of the season. It is also worth pointing out that Porter has scored 11+ points in eight of the last 10 games. Despite some poor shooting performances over that stretch, he continues to maintain enough volume to crack double figures. The favorable matchup should help bolster his output the rest of the way.

In addition to the handicap itself, OddsShopper also lists a favorable even-money price on this NBA betting prediction. In fact, the +100 odds are up to 15 cents better than what other sportsbooks are offering. Combine the price with an exact projection of 16.00 points and Awesemo believes this is a positive ROI wager to make.

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