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3 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Mike Conley & Precious Achiuwa 3/21/22

Henry John



For many basketball fans, tonight will serve as an opportunity to catch their breath after a wild March Madness weekend. For bettors, the grind never stops. While the NCAA Tournament is on hold until Thursday, there are nine games scheduled at the professional basketball ranks for Monday evening. In addition to standard game wagers, prop bets offer an added NBA betting picks angle to attack. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Monday night’s slate.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Drew Eubanks Over 1.5 Assists (-110, Caesars)

Who does not love the opportunity to bet over on total assists for a center? Well, bettors have the chance to do just that tonight with Portland Trail Blazers big man, Drew Eubanks. The sad season continues for Portland as they remain without the services of both Damian Lillard, Anfernee Simons and Jusuf Nurkic. Bettors can also add Josh Hart to the list of Blazers who will miss Monday night’s tilt against the equally as lowly Detroit Pistons. With the depth chart severely depleted, Portland will take offensive production in any way possible tonight.

Although Eubanks did not record a single assist in yesterday’s blowout loss to Indiana, he notably dished out two or more in each of the four games prior. Two dimes are all that would be needed to exceed tonight’s NBA player props total of 1.5. On the season overall, Eubanks is averaging exactly 1.5 helpers per contest. There certainly figure to be opportunities to record multiple assists tonight. In addition to the depleted state of the Blazers lineup, the opponent Pistons have allowed 111.0 points per 100 possessions on the season. That ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. 

Awesemo projects Eubanks to finish with exactly 2.19 assists in tonight’s game. This translates to a win probability of 63% for the over on this NBA betting prop. With OddsShopper showing the best price on this prop to be -110, the expected ROI value is set at a favorable 20%.

Mike Conley Over 12.5 Points (-116, FanDuel)

From a shooting percentage standpoint, Mike Conley has been absolutely abysmal over the last month. After appearing to snap out of the funk with a spectacular 10-13 shooting effort and 29 points scored last Monday, Conley went on to hit only six of 23 field goal attempts over the next two games. From an NBA betting perspective, the recent struggles of the Utah Jazz point guard have created a buy-low window of opportunity on his props. The team opted to rest Conley yesterday, a move that ensures he will be fresh for tonight’s contest against the Brooklyn Nets.

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When it comes to Conley’s scoring total for Monday’s game, OddsShopper shows that the NBA player props market is split on this line. Multiple sportsbooks are offering both 13.5 and 12.5 as point totals for the Jazz point guard tonight. Although his shooting woes have seen him fail to exceed either mark in five of his last seven games played, Conley is still averaging 13.4 points per game on the full season. Thus, he would effectively have to come up nearly 1.4 points short of that average again tonight to stay under the lower of the two available prop totals.

In addition to the opposing Nets ranking in the bottom half of the NBA in defensive efficiency, Conley also figures to benefit from an up-tempo pace. More possessions will automatically equate to more scoring opportunities. The fact that OddsShopper can help bettors obtain a full point of value over other market prices also adds to the value of this over prediction. Awesemo officially projects Conley to score 14.80 points tonight. When paired with the preferred line of 12.5 and optimal odds of -116, a 19% ROI value is assigned to this prop.

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Precious Achiuwa Under 14.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)

If there is one known by now about Toronto Raptors head coach Nick Nurse, it is that no one outside of the team’s core is guaranteed significant playing time on a given night. So while center Precious Achiuwa has played over 30 minutes in three of the team’s last four games, it would not come as a surprise to see that allotment greatly reduced this evening. Achiuwa has notably scored in double figures in seven straight games. Furthermore, he has successfully eclipsed tonight’s NBA player props total of 14.5 points in each of the last two contests. Achiuwa dwarfed his per-game average of 8.8 points on the season by scoring 21 in 34 minutes on Sunday against Philadelphia. 

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Although the Raptors run a fairly tight-knit rotation in general, the simple fact that tonight’s matchup against the Chicago Bulls is the second game in as many days could result in Achiuwa’s minutes declining. It is also worth pointing out that playing time does not make the former Memphis Tiger a lock to go over the NBA betting points total. His shooting percentages are prone to fluctuating on a game-by-game basis. It was just last week that he only scored 10 points on 5-13 shooting despite playing 33 minutes. 

Awesemo’s projections view this NBA props prediction as one of the top value plays on Monday night’s betting slate. Considering that Achiuwa would need to once again exceed his per-game scoring average by over six points to clear the prop line leads to a massive lean towards the under. Best of all, OddsShopper shows that bettors can obtain a favorable +100 price on that side of the prop. Combine this with a projection of only 11.32 points and the expected ROI sits at a massive 42%.

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