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Tuesday, May 3 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Stephen Curry

Henry John



Two more NBA postseason games are on tap this evening. In both games, the home team finds itself in a desperate situation as a result of losing their respective series openers on Sunday. While the Boston Celtics and Memphis Grizzlies try to make amends tonight, the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors can both put the clamps down on their second-round series matchups. There are several ways to have betting action on the games today, including NBA prop bets. Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Tuesday night’s playoff doubleheader.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

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Al Horford Under 10.5 Points (+115, Caesars)

Kicking off our NBA prop bets today is an intriguing plus-money under prediction involving Boston Celtics forward, Al Horford. Several Celtics players struggled shooting the basketball in Game 1 on Sunday. Horford was not one of them, as he actually knocked down a quartet of three-pointers in the loss. All 12 of the points he scored came from beyond the arc. Horford has now exceeded his per-game scoring average of 10.2 points in four of five games so far this postseason.

One key reason betting under the NBA player props total of 10.5 points for Horford in Game 2 becomes very appealing is the available price. OddsShopper shows that all sportsbooks are juiced to the over on this points prop for tonight’s game. This juice has created no worse than even-money odds on the under across the NBA betting market. It has also made a +115 price available, ensuring that bettors not only get 15 cents of value over other listings but also have a shot at a solid return.

The fact that Horford averaged slightly less than the NBA props total over the course of the full season certainly means that the under is in play. Given the size and length the Milwaukee Bucks have on their roster, big men like Horford will presumably see plenty of minutes throughout this series. That being said, Horford receiving the 36 minutes he played in Game 1 could be asking a lot. It’s also asking a lot more for him to shoot so well from three-point range. Awesemo tabs the veteran for 9.89 points in Tuesday’s contest. Although the statistical edge is not huge, the profitable betting odds help bump the expected ROI value for this under prediction to 17%.

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Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Assists (-150, Caesars)

To begin our analysis of this NBA player props offering involving total assists for Stephen Curry, a glimpse at the market is worthwhile. At the time of writing, OddsShopper indicates that the vast majority of sportsbooks have this assist total set at 5.5. In addition, almost all shops are juiced to the over on that line. Despite this, bettors can also find a line of 4.5 helpers for the Golden State Warriors superstar available. Not only that, but the odds to bet over 4.5 are actually cheaper than what some other books are requiring to be over 5.5!

Looking closer at Curry’s numbers, he finished just shy of this NBA props total in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Sunday when he recorded four assists. However, he had five dimes or more in each of the three games prior to that. Since the start of the NBA Playoffs, Curry has finished with at least four assists in any game. Keep in mind too that he was coming off the bench and on a slight minutes restriction to begin the Warriors’ first-round series.

On the full season, Curry averaged 6.3 assists per game. Thus, one could truly argue that it is worth playing over both 4.5 and 5.5 assists ahead of Game 2 tonight. The Memphis Grizzlies are a sound defensive team, but they simply cannot contain all of the weapons the Warriors have. Keying in on Curry only figures to pave the way for him to dish to open teammates more often. Awesemo pegs Curry for 5.94 assists tonight, a projection that yields a very confident win probability of 71%. Using the preferred line of 4.5 with accompanying -150 odds, the expected ROI value for this over prediction is a healthy 18%.

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Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 7.5 Rebounds (-135, Caesars)

After a disappointing first-round series that was plagued by foul trouble, Grizzlies’ big man Jaren Jackson Jr. went off in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Sunday. Jackson played 31 minutes and poured in 33 points to go along with 10 rebounds. This marked his second consecutive double-double performance and easily his best offensive game ever in the postseason. If Jackson can avoid foul trouble again tonight, another big stat line could be in the cards. However, that has proven to be easier said than done for Jackson in the majority of games this postseason.

Oddsmakers have set Jackson’s NBA player props rebounding total at 7.5 ahead of Game 2. This line is nearly two full rebounds more than the 5.8 he averaged per game over the full season. Given that the Warriors are top five in rebound rate, nothing figures to come easily on the glass for Memphis in this series. It’s also worth noting that Golden State was without Draymond Green for the majority of Game 1 after he was assessed a flagrant two foul and ejected. Unless a similar situation transpires in Game 2, Green’s presence on the interior throughout Tuesday’s contest is almost certain to disrupt Jackson’s productivity on the glass.

OddsShopper does show that most NBA betting sportsbooks are juiced to the under on Jackson’s rebound prop. Given the statistical discrepancy, it’s hard to argue with the pricing. Despite having to pay up, OddsShopper gives this wager a 14% ROI at the optimal -135 price point. A projection of 6.64 rebounds for Jackson tonight also yields a solid 65% win probability for the under.

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