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4/18/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Andrew Wiggins

Henry John



The NBA Playoffs continue on Monday night with a tripleheader slate. As we get set for the first wave of Game 2, bettors have plenty of options to consider in the NBA betting market tonight. In addition to game lines, there are several player props that are worth a gander. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props spanning each of Monday night’s NBA Postseason matchups.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Danny Green Under 2.5 Rebounds (+135, BetMGM)

When one takes into account the fact that OddsShopper lists +135 odds as being available on Danny Green to record fewer than 2.5 rebounds, this NBA player props prediction may seem like a long shot. Truth be told, the 34-year-old veteran actually averaged exactly 2.5 boards per game over the course of the full season. He slipped over the total with three rebounds as the Philadelphia 76ers rolled to the win in Game 1 on Saturday. While Green has now finished with three rebounds or more in five of the last six games, it is far from a lock that he will do so tonight.

For starters, it must be noted that Green is not guaranteed to see a hefty amount of playing time. He averaged only 21.8 minutes on the season and played just 22 in Game 1. Green’s statistical contributions have been quite limited for the 76ers all year as a result. The fact that the Sixers have a plethora of strong rebounders, headlined by center Joel Embiid, suggests that there probably won’t be a huge need for Green to be overly active on the glass. In addition, the Toronto Raptors rank 11th in Rebound Rate among all teams for the season.

OddsShopper lists Green’s NBA betting rebounding props as being juiced heavily to the over across the entire market. However, the discrepancy in prices between sportsbooks is very real. The +135 odds on the under afford bettors up to 20 cents of additional value compared to other listings. While Awesemo’s exact projection of 2.48 boards falls right in line with the prop total, it also is a far cry from the implied probabilities suggested by the current odds. Thanks to the hefty plus-money price, this under prediction is determined to have a healthy ROI of 31%.

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Spencer Dinwiddie Over 6.5 Assists (+100, Caesars)

Given that Luka Doncic has been declared as “unlikely” to play in Game 2, the Dallas Mavericks will once again be up against it offensively. Spencer Dinwiddie actually played very well in filling in for Doncic as the starting point guard on Saturday. Unfortunately, it’s next to impossible to fully replace what Doncic provides on a game-by-game basis. Unless we see an unexpected turn of events that leads to Doncic playing on Monday night, bettors should strongly consider playing over the NBA player props line of 6.5 assists for Dinwiddie.

The 36 minutes Dinwiddie played on Saturday were easily the most he has seen in quite some time. Upon being acquired by the Mavericks at the trade deadline, the 29-year-old found himself in a reserve role behind the franchise’s superstar point guard. He still managed to average nearly four helpers per game across his time spent with Dallas during the regular season. Upon receiving more playing time in Game 1, Dinwiddie finished with eight assists and operated as the team’s primary ball-handler. One of the slowest-paced teams in the league, the Mavs successfully made Game 1 play out as a half-court grind. This is certainly something they would prefer to do all series long if possible.

Where this NBA player props offering gets even more interesting is when one considers the current state of the betting market. OddsShopper actually suggests that bettors can find even-money odds on both the over and under for this prop, depending on the sportsbook. The fact that the juice varies in both directions suggests that the market is split on the matter. Awesemo chimes in with an exact projection for Dinwiddie to have 7.21 assists in tonight’s contest. Thanks to the availability of +100 odds, a 16% expected ROI value has been assigned to this over prediction.

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Andrew Wiggins Under 5.5 Rebounds (-130, DraftKings)

Go ahead and give yourself a pat on the back if you accurately predicted that Andrew Wiggins would lead the Warriors in rebounding in Game 1 of this series. If one had to bet, there probably aren’t many self-back pats being administered. Wiggins demolished his per-game average of 4.5 boards on Saturday night with nine across 29 minutes of action. Not only did that pace Golden State but it was also just one less than Nikola Jokic’s game-high total of ten!

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The fact that the Warriors play small for long stretches opens the door for wing players like Wiggins to contribute meaningful amounts on the glass. Center Kevon Looney only wound up playing 13 minutes on Saturday. Thus, Draymond Green and Otto Porter Jr. were the only two pure frontcourt players who saw meaningful minutes in Game 1. Although bettors shouldn’t bank on Steve Kerr changing up his rotation on Monday night, significant regression in Wiggins’ rebound production is very much expected.

The fact that tonight’s NBA player props total sits one full board above what Wiggins averaged this season suggests that he could actually exceed his typical production and still stay under the betting line. The entire NBA betting market is juiced to the under, but OddsShopper suggests that the optimal price of -130 actually offers up to 15 cents of value compared to other listings. Despite the juice, Awesemo’s projections believe that this is a prop bet well worth placing. An exact projection for Wiggins to finish with 4.52 rebounds results in a 70% win probability and a 24% expected ROI at the favorable price point.

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