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Wednesday, May 4 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Tyrese Maxey

Henry John



The NBA Playoffs continue on Wednesday night with two more conference semifinal matchups. The top seeds in both the Eastern and Western Conference will be in action tonight. Minus their superstar center, the Philadelphia 76ers will try to steal Game 2 on the road against the Miami Heat. The nightcap will feature the Dallas Mavericks taking on the Phoenix Suns. With two games on tap, there are numerous NBA prop bets today that are worthy of consideration.

Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Wednesday night’s playoff action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

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Tyrese Maxey Under 2.5 3-Pointers (-110, BetMGM)

In Game 1 on Monday night, Philadelphia 76ers guard Tyrese Maxey scored 19 points for the fifth time in seven games this postseason. Despite exceeding his season-long scoring average by 1.5 points, he only connected on a single 3-point field goal. For the game, Maxey shot just 1-6 from beyond the arc. He has now failed to record multiple made 3-pointers for the Sixers’ seven postseason games to date. 

When Maxey finds his stroke from deep, he tends to capitalize on it. He sank five 3-pointers twice in Round 1 of the playoffs. In total, he managed to exceed today’s NBA player props total of 2.5 made 3-pointers on a trio of occasions. However, all of those performances came against a Toronto Raptors team that does not prioritize defending the perimeter. The opposite is true of the Miami Heat. On the season, the Heat rank second in 3-point shooting defense. Opponents have connected on just 33.7% of shots attempted from distance against Miami. 

In addition to a stingy Heat perimeter defense, Maxey and all Sixers players are automatically tasked with trying to make up for the injury absence of MVP finalist Joel Embiid. While this theoretically should result in more shot attempts, plenty of those will presumably be tightly contested looks. OddsShopper actually shows disagreement across the NBA prop bets market with regard to the juice on Maxey’s 3-pointers prop. As a result, optimal -110 odds yield up to 25 cents of value relative to listings at other sportsbooks. Combine these odds with Awesemo’s projection of 2.34 made 3’s and the under is deemed to have a 12% expected ROI value.

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Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (+115, Caesars)

Heat center Bam Adebayo got off to a slow start in these NBA Playoffs last round. He wasted little time in getting going in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Adebayo dropped a huge 24-point, 12-rebound double-double line in Game 1 on Monday night. While expecting him to shoot 80% from the field again tonight might be a reach, there is good reason to believe that Adebayo can continue to post solid rebounding numbers throughout this series. As the 76ers remain without Embiid, betting over the NBA player props line of 10.5 boards for Adebayo becomes much more appealing.

On the full season, Adebayo averaged 10.1 rebounds per game for the Heat but has finished with no less than 11 boards in three of the last four games. Earlier in the season, the 76ers would have tried to thwart the absence of Embiid by playing Andre Drummond at the center position. Drummond was part of the package that Philly sent to Brooklyn to land James Harden and as a result, they quite literally have no center on the roster capable of banging with Adebayo down low. Sorry to all of the DeAndre Jordan truthers out there.

OddsShopper does not necessarily believe that there is a huge statistical edge on this NBA prop bets offering. That being said, Adebayo’s projection of 10.66 rebounds gets a boost when one considers the accompanying NBA betting odds. OddsShopper indicates that this prop is juiced to the under across the entire market. The result is widespread availability of plus-money prices on the over, with +115 offering the greatest value. At the optimal odds, the expected ROI value for this over prediction comes in at 7%.

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Reggie Bullock Over 8.5 Points (-124, FanDuel)

It is no secret that the vast majority of shot attempts taken by Dallas Mavericks veteran Reggie Bullock are 3-pointers. Since the team got Luka Doncic back in the lineup in Game 4 of the First Round, Bullock has taken exactly one field goal attempt from inside the arc. This stat is important when one considers that his NBA player props scoring total for tonight’s Game 2 sits at 8.5. Simple math suggests that Bullock can go over this prop line simply by canning a trio of 3’s.

The above scenario is something that Bullock did in each of the Mavs’ first five playoff games last round. He scored in double figures in each of the three games Doncic missed, as well as his first one back. Since Game 5 against Utah when he scored 9 points on three made 3-pointers, Bullock has failed to eclipse the NBA prop bets total. On the full season, he averaged 8.6 points per game on 36% shooting from distance. The 2-7 shooting effort from deep that Bullock had in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals equates to just 28.6%.

The Phoenix Suns are notably a difficult defensive opponent. The defending conference champs ranked top five in both defensive efficiency and 3-point percentage allowed this season. With that being said, Bullock will still get his looks and is more than capable of going over the NBA player props total. OddsShopper shows most sportsbooks are juiced in that direction, but bettors can still obtain value by shopping prices across the market. At optimal -124 odds, this wager shapes up as one of OddsShopper‘s favorite NBA picks today. Bullock’s projected 11.71 points result in a massive 72% win probability to go along with a 29% ROI rating.

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