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4/19/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Brandon Ingram

Henry John

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Three more NBA playoffs games are on the docket for Tuesday evening. The top seeds in both the Eastern and Western Conference will be in action tonight. When it comes to selecting NBA betting picks for tonight’s playoff games, the player props market might actually be the best avenue to pursue. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props spanning each of Tuesday night’s NBA Postseason matchups.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Bogdan Bogdanovic Under 14.5 Points (-112, FanDuel)

Things can’t possibly get much worse for the Atlanta Hawks on the offensive end than they were in Game 1. The Hawks’ reward for grabbing the 8-seed in the Eastern Conference was a matchup against the nasty Miami Heat defense. While superstar Trae Young sputtered his way to all of 8 points on Sunday, only three Atlanta players total even managed to score in double figures. Bogdan Bogdanovic was not one of them, as he finished with just 6 points in 26 minutes of action. This snapped a streak of six straight games for Bogdanovic scoring in double figures.

While one has to believe that Bogdanovic will be a bit more productive in the scoring department tonight, eclipsing the NBA player props total of 14.5 points is a different story. Given that the 29-year-old averaged 15.1 points per game this season, the current prop total is essentially suggesting that he must match this average to achieve the bare minimum necessary to cash the over. The Heat ranked top-5 in defensive efficiency this season and showed on Sunday that they are capable of ratcheting up the intensity even more. On top of that, both Atlanta and Miami rank in the bottom half of the league in pace.

To top it all off, Bogdanovic is reportedly dealing with a sore left ankle that has resulted in him being listed on the Hawks’ injury report. While he is fully expected to play, it certainly could impact his performance. OddsShopper currently indicates that bettors can score up to 13 cents of value by targeting optimal -112 odds on this under prediction. Awesemo only projects Bogdanovic to score 13.03 points in Game 2. When one combines this projection with the favorable price, the ROI value comes in at 13%.

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Patrick Beverley Over 4.5 Rebounds (+108, FanDuel)

By now, it should be clear to everyone that Patrick Beverley is all in on this Minnesota Timberwolves playoff run. In addition to hounding Ja Morant on the defensive end in Game 1, Beverley also made quite an impact on the glass. His impressive all-around stat line on Saturday included six rebounds. This followed up the Wolves’ NBA Play-In Tournament win in which Beverley amassed 11 rebounds. Thus he has sailed over his per-game average of 4.1 rebounds in both postseason games coming into Tuesday night.

Perhaps it is the fact that Beverley has actually been exceeding his typical rebounding production that results in the interesting pricing on tonight’s prop. OddsShopper currently shows all sportsbooks across the NBA player props market listing a plus-money price on Beverley to exceed 4.5 rebounds in Game 2. One could even go back to the regular season to see that Beverley has raided his level of play in the rebounding department of late. Aside from Minnesota’s regular-season finale in which he only played 15 minutes, Beverley has now finished with five rebounds or more in four straight games.

It is worth noting that the Memphis Grizzlies led the league in rebound rate this season. While this typically would be a negative sign as far as this NBA betting props prediction is concerned, the Grizzlies are almost certain to change up their rotation after Saturday’s brutal showing. Thus, the weight of the full-season numbers may not be quite as significant. Given the favorable pricing, Awesemo believes that it is worth betting Beverley to go over 4.5 rebounds again in Game 2. Although a projection of 4.91 rebounds does not yield much of a statistical discrepancy, the +108 price turns out a 13% expected ROI value.


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Brandon Ingram Over 4.5 Assists (-154, BetMGM)

The first-ever playoff game of his career turned out to be a rough one for New Orleans Pelicans‘ leading scorer, Brandon Ingram. The 24-year-old actually finished below his season averages in each of the big three statistical categories. In addition to only scoring 18 points, Ingram wound up with just four assists. That total came up well short of the 5.6 assists that he averaged per game over the course of the full season. What Ingram’s lackluster performance has done is adjust the NBA player props market when it comes to his totals ahead of Game 2 tonight.

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The fact that oddsmakers have set Ingram’s assist total at 4.5 ahead of Game 2 is significant considering the production that he normally provides in this area. Ingram had at least five assists in both of the Pelicans’ NBA Play-In Tournament games. Furthermore, aside from an ugly all-around effort against the Los Angeles Clippers on April 3, one would have to go all the way back to mid-February to find the last time that he finished with less than five assists in a game. Based on the current NBA betting total, Ingram doesn’t even need to eclipse his per-game assists average to hit the over on his prop.

Taking into consideration how frequently Ingram eclipses 4.5 assists, betting over tonight’s prop line is very appealing. Unfortunately, the market is clearly thinking along similar lines, as OddsShopper shows all sportsbooks are requiring bettors to lay hefty juice on the over. While the best price of -154 isn’t exactly ideal, it does yield value considering that most other shops have this prop priced at -160. The juice is not enough to scare Awesemo off from playing the over. A projection for Ingram to finish with 5.81 assists results in a 69% win probability and a 13% expected ROI value at the optimal price point.


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