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4/21/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Jaren Jackson Jr.

Henry John



If you thought last night’s NBA playoff action was wild, buckle up. There are three more games on the docket for Thursday night. This time, the Western Conference is the focal point of each matchup. A couple of 1-1 series ties will be broken when the Memphis Grizzlies tangle with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks face the Utah Jazz. In the nightcap, the Denver Nuggets will look to get back into their series when they host the Golden State Warriors. Talk about a night full of intriguing matchups and NBA betting opportunities! If wagering on the games themselves isn’t for you, fear not! There is bound to be worthwhile NBA picks in the player props market all postseason long.

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You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props spanning each of Thursday night’s NBA Postseason matchups.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 6.5 Rebounds (+106, FanDuel)

Give credit to Memphis Grizzlies head coach Taylor Jenkins for all but removing center Steven Adams from the rotation entirely in Game 2. Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman absorbing the majority of minutes at the position was a much better fit for the team. It also means that other Memphis players are likely to have increased duties on the glass. Jaren Jackson Jr. was one of those who stepped up in the series-tying win on Tuesday night. He finished with seven rebounds on the night across 27 minutes of action.

Ahead of tonight’s Game 3 matchup, oddsmakers have set Jackson’s NBA player props rebounding total at 6.5. Although this sits 0.7 rebounds above the 5.8 that Jackson averaged on the full season, there is a level of intrigue when it comes to playing the over. The 22-year-old figures to be a key ingredient for Memphis throughout this series when it comes to slowing down Minnesota Timberwolves star, Karl-Anthony Towns. For what it’s worth, Jackson had the stats to be a finalist for the NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. Many felt that he should’ve won the award outright as well.

Given the adjustments in the Grizzlies’ rotation, Jackson will presumably be more active on the boards in this series than he needed to be during the regular season. Combine the evolving rotation scenario with the fact that OddsShopper lists a plus-money price on the over and this is a prop that offers some value. Awesemo’s projection of 6.66 rebounds warrants an over wager, especially considering the favorable odds.

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Dorian Finney-Smith Over 4.5 Rebounds (-130, DraftKings)

In the first two games of the Dallas Mavericks‘ playoff series, Dorian Finney-Smith totaled five and seven rebounds. While many are aware of the points and assists that are missing from the Mavs’ lineup so long as Luka Doncic remains sidelined, there are also a lot of rebounds to be accounted for as well. After all, points and assists alone aren’t enough to accumulate all of the triple-doubles that Doncic has. Thus, the onus will continue to be on players like Finney-Smith to contribute on the glass in Thursday’s Game 3.

At the time of writing, OddsShopper shows all sportsbooks listing Finney-Smith’s NBA player props total at 4.5 rebounds. Accompanying odds have this prop juiced to the over and rightfully so. Even with Doncic in the lineup on most nights, Finney-Smith averaged 4.7 rebounds per game this season. With the rest of the Mavericks’ frontcourt being difficult to predict, Finney-Smith is virtually guaranteed to play heavy minutes for as long as Dallas stays alive in the playoffs. Case in point, he saw north of 40 minutes on the floor in both Games 1 and 2.

The other factor to note here is just how vital it is for the Mavs to counteract what the opposing Utah Jazz are capable of on the glass. Utah ranked second in rebound rate this season and dominated the rebound margin in the first two games of this series. A shortage of viable rebounders alone makes the over on Finney-Smith’s NBA betting prop appealing. Despite the odds being juiced in that direction, Awesemo’s projections give this wager a 22% expected ROI value. A projection of 5.84 rebounds translates to a hefty win probability of 69%.

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Aaron Gordon Under 14.5 Points (-120, BetMGM)

The more things change in the NBA, the more they stay the same. While Jordan Poole may suddenly be the flashy new star for the Golden State Warriors, Aaron Gordon continues to struggle for the shorthanded Denver Nuggets. One could argue that Denver would love to have the trade they made to acquire Gordon last year back. While he did manage to average 15.0 points per game during the regular season for what was and still is an extremely shorthanded team, Gordon only scored 15 points combined in Games 1 and 2 of the ongoing playoff series.

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Ahead of Game 3 tonight, NBA betting oddsmakers have set Gordon’s points prop slightly below his season average at 14.5. Taking numerous factors into consideration, the under is clearly the preferred side. For starters, the Warriors are the best defensive team in the Association. In addition, Gordon only was on the floor for 26 and 25 minutes in the first two games of this series. He combined to shoot 6-for-19 across both games. Unless he gets off to a better start in a must-win Game 3 at home, his leash could be short once again.

From the standpoint of athleticism, Gordon is also a liability in this matchup against Golden State on the defensive end. This could also impact his playing time. OddsShopper currently shows slight juice to the under across the market on his NBA player props scoring total. Awesemo officially projects the 26-year-old to score 13.23 points in tonight’s game. At optimal -120 odds, bettors will obtain a 7% expected ROI value.

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