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4/8/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props | Kevin Porter Jr.

Henry John



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The final weekend of the NBA regular season commences tonight. Friday evening’s lineup features nine games in total with postseason seeding implications scattered throughout the card. Only three more days remain to capitalize on having all 30 teams active. Starting next week, the volume of available NBA betting picks and player props will begin to deteriorate. Thus, bettors are advised to both take advantage of and enjoy the busy weekend of games ahead. 

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You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Friday night’s basketball action.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Kevin Porter Jr. Under 19.5 Points (+105, PointsBet)

Young Kevin Porter Jr. has had more than just a hot shooting stroke of late. The 21-year-old has quite literally popped off for the Houston Rockets in five straight games. A 36-point performance in Houston’s most recent contest serves as the high point of a five-game stretch in which Porter has scored no fewer than 21 points. In four of the five games, he notched 26 points or more and twice has cracked the 30-point threshold. It’s no surprise given his recent form to find that the NBA player props market has raised his scoring total to 19.5 points ahead of tonight’s game.

While Porter has had no trouble flying over this NBA betting line in his last several games, the season as a whole has been a different story. In fact, he enters Friday night’s game averaging only 15.1 points per outing. His recent scoring uptick has correlated directly with a hot hand from beyond the 3-point arc. Porter has canned four or more triples in four of the last five games. In Tuesday’s 36-point outburst, he shot 6-14 from beyond the arc.

It’s also worth noting that all of Porter’s recent high-scoring outputs have come against some of the worst defensive teams in the league. The same cannot be said for the Toronto Raptors squad he and the Rockets will tangle with tonight. Entering the day, the Raptors are tied for the ninth-best defensive efficiency rating in the Association. The fact that OddsShopper lists +105 odds available on the under for this NBA props offering makes it all the more intriguing. The favorable price enables OddsShopper to boost this prediction’s expected ROI value to 12%.

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Mike Conley Under 14.5 Points (-115, DraftKings)

After enduring an ugly shooting slump during the middle portion of the season, Utah Jazz point guard Mike Conley has flipped the script recently. In fact, the turnaround has been so drastic that bettors should be wary of his scoring numbers being sustainable. Conley has shot above or just under 50% from the field in each of his last six games played. He has scored 13 points or more in each of the last five contests and 18+ in three of them. For a player who is only averaging 13.7 points and 43% shooting on the season, such numbers will presumably be tough to maintain over the long haul.

It’s worth noting that Conley would need to exceed his per-game scoring average by over one full point to eclipse tonight’s NBA player props line of 14.5. The 34-year-old sat out Utah’s matchup on Wednesday and thus figures to be well-rested for tonight’s game. While the Jazz have yet to clinch the Northwest Division title, it could prove difficult to do so in a matchup against the Phoenix Suns tonight. Not only are the Suns the NBA’s best team, but they also rank top-three in defensive efficiency. Offense could be a struggle overall for the Jazz this evening.

For this NBA betting prediction, OddsShopper shows that almost all of the market is juiced to the under, and rightfully so. That being said, preferred -115 odds still yield up to 10 cents of value compared to other prices. Awesemo has Conley pegged to score 12.54 points tonight, an output that falls 2 points short of the NBA props total. Along with a 63% win probability, a wager on the under that utilizes the optimal price offers bettors an 18% expected ROI value.

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Malik Monk Under 5.5 Rebounds (-105, BetMGM)

Now that the Los Angeles Lakers have officially been eliminated from postseason contention, one can safely assume that LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and even Russell Westbrook will be sitting out the final couple of games. In theory, this will open up even more minutes and opportunities for other Lakers like Malik Monk. While Monk has supplied several big scoring outputs this season, rebounding is far from Monk’s strong suit. Despite a seven-rebound effort in the most recent game, he has averaged only 3.4 boards per game on the season.

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Considering that tonight’s NBA player props line of 5.5, Monk would need to eclipse his per-game average by nearly three full boards to hit the over. Even though Los Angeles is facing a depleted Oklahoma City Thunder outfit tonight, achieving the half-dozen rebounds necessary to clear this prop line will be difficult. Despite fairly consistent playing time of late, Monk has only finished with more than five rebounds once in the last ten games. 

The fact that OddsShopper shows the majority of the NBA betting market as being juiced to the over here is quite surprising. As a result, bettors can obtain a favorable -105 price that is up to 20 cents cheaper than those at other sportsbooks. Awesemo projects Monk for 5.07 rebounds tonight. While this is over his season average and accounts for all of the player absences, it is still nearly one full board short of what he would need to eclipse the betting total. When this under prediction is made using the optimal odds, the ROI value sits at a healthy 18%.

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