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3 MUST BET NBA Player Props Tonight | Derrick Rose & Malcolm Brogdon 12/16/21

Henry John

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There are four games scheduled in the NBA for Thursday night. Even with the reduced number of games, it is another great evening to capitalize on the NBA player props market. While injuries and health and safety protocols have created chaos around the league, bettors can look to use these developments to their advantage when making betting picks. You can easily enhance your NBA handicapping process further by including the redesigned Awesemo OddsShopper Tool as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for Thursday night’s NBA slate.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Malcolm Brogdon Under 6.5 Assists (+110, FanDuel)

Tonight’s game marks the second of a back-to-back for the Indiana Pacers. This combined with the fact that a potential blowout could be in store against a weak Detroit Pistons should lead one to question just how much starters like Malcolm Brogdon will play. In 30 minutes of action last night, Brogdon dished out five assists. That was less than both his per-game average of 6.2 and tonight’s NBA player props line of 6.5 assists. However, it was also only the second time in the Pacers’ last eight games that Brogdon had fewer than seven assists.

While OddsShopper only gives the under a 54% win probability for this bet tonight, favorable plus-money odds help boost the expected ROI up to 13%. OddsShopper shows that the preferred line of +110 is up to 15 cents better than prices offered at other sportsbooks. In what would otherwise be a fair prop and line, the juiced odds make the under very worthy of a look.


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Nicolas Claxton Over 8.5 Points (+105, DraftKings)

This is yet another plus-money opportunity. Nicolas Claxton has averaged less than 20 minutes per game on the season. However, with a plethora of Nets sidelined due to health and safety protocols, Claxton has seen a bump in usage of late. Big men LaMarcus Aldridge, James Johnson and Paul Millsap are all among those players in the health protocols. This led to Claxton scoring 16 points on 8-for-10 shooting across 26 minutes of action in Tuesday night’s overtime win.

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Awesemo’s projections have tabbed Claxton to score 10.24 points in tonight’s game against the Philadelphia 76ers. Thus this plus-money NBA betting prediction has both a high win probability (67%) and expected ROI (30%). Be sure to check in with OddsShopper to score optimal value on this under prediction. At the time of writing, the tool shows the preferred +105 odds to be as much as 17 cents better value than alternative prices in the market.

Derrick Rose Over 4.5 Assists (-112, SugarHouse)

Derrick Rose enters Thursday night’s game having dished out no fewer than four assists in seven of the past eight games. Coming off the bench has been no problem for Rose. While the New York Knicks have been struggling mightily as a team, a matchup against the rebuilding Houston Rockets this evening figures to help turn things around. Rose has also played over 30 minutes in each of the last three games. He figures to see plenty of run again in tonight’s matchup.

With a projection of 5.18 assists, OddsShopper predicts that Rose will go over the total of 4.5 tonight. Although the line is slightly higher than his season average of 4.1 assists per game, keep in mind that the Knicks’ backcourt rotation has undergone significant changes over the first two months of the season. Kemba Walker is now out of the rotation and on the trade block. OddsShopper comes in handy once again, revealing an 18-cent discrepancy in the odds across the market. At the favorable -112 price, Awesemo gives this over prop bet a positive expected ROI of 13%.


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