Major League Baseball enters the holiday weekend with a massive day of action including all 30 teams in 15 games scheduled to utilize Awesemo tools and data. Weather across the MLB landscape thankfully appears to be in the clear for a second straight day. Using the betting lines at OddsShopper this article will make expert MLB picks and predictions to determine the best MLB bets today.
Each day, this article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Twins vs. Red Sox Under 10 Total Runs (-115)
The Minnesota Twins (2-4) go to Fenway Park with right Joe Ryan on the mound against Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (3-3). Boston will be a sunny 64 degrees at today’s 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. The updated betting lines at OddsShopper feature the Red Sox as -125 moneyline favorites beside a 10.1 Vegas run total with a projected 9.3 runs and a whopping 14.6% projected return on investment for the under. Ryan (2-1, 2021) stumbled in his first start of the season against the Mariners, producing four strikeouts, two hits against, four walks and two earned runs in just four innings. Ryan draws high hopes following a promising 30% strikeout rate, .168 average against, 5% walk rate, 0.79 WHIP and 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Ryan will face six right-handed bats and three lefties. Ryan is much better against righties, with a 36.7% strikeout rate, .188 average against, 2% walk rate, 0.75 WHIP and 0.68 HR/9 when facing right-handed hitters in 2021. In turn, the Red Sox when pit against opposing right-handed pitching last season produced a .260 batting average, 23.7% strikeout rate, .788 OPS, .200 ISO, 109 wRC+ and 14.5% home run to fly ball rate with nearly each noted metric among the best in the league. However, Minnesota’s bullpen was rather questionable as they turned in a .238 average against, 23.8% strikeout rate, 1.31 WHIP, 1.33 HR/9 and 4.39 ERA.
Pivetta (9-8, 2021) began the season similarly to Ryan with four hits, four earned runs, three walks and four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in his season debut against the Yankees. In his first season with Boston last year, Pivetta managed a 26.5% strikeout rate, .232 average against, 1.3 WHIP, 9.8% walk rate and 1.39 HR/9. The Twins’ will have five righties, three lefties and one switch-hitter. Pivetta had a 26.6% strikeout rate and 1.23 WHIP against righties last year. The Minnesota offense against right-handed pitching in 2021 threatened a .240 batting average, 23.1% strikeout rate, 9% walk rate, .744 OPS, 15.5% HR/FB rate and 102 wRC+. Yet Boston’s bullpen excelled with a 25.6% strikeout rate, .241 average against, 1.39 WHIP, 1.04 HR/9, 3.99 ERA and 12.2% HR/FB rate. Because of this, the lofty run total coupled makes this one of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
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Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline vs. Chicago White Sox (+116)
The Tampa Bay Rays (4-3) embark on their first road matchup of the season, handing the start to Drew Rasmussen, as they venture to the windy Guaranteed Rate Field to duel Dylan Cease and the Chicago White Sox. Chicago will be a drizzly 48 degrees at the 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. OddsShopper‘s updated betting lines have the White Sox as -125 moneyline favorites, though a narrowly separated 49% xWin for the Rays +116 moneyline carries a favorable 8.7% projected return on investment. Rasmussen (4-1, 2021) started the season with a no-decision in four innings against Baltimore, with three hits, three strikeouts, two earned runs and one walk. The right-handed Rasmussen produced a solid resume with both the Brewers and Rays in 2021, including a 23.8% strikeout rate, .202 average against, 1.08 WHIP, 0.59 HR/9 and 2.84 ERA. Rasmussen will face seven righties, one lefty and one switch-hitter. Last year against righties Rasmussen had a .205 average against, 3.46 FIP and 10% HR/FB rate, while the White Sox have a .255 batting average, 22.4% strikeout rate, .753 OPS, 14.2% HR/FB rate and daunting 108 wRC+. The Tampa bullpen includes the best relief staffs in the league with a .222 average against, 25.6% strikeout rate, 1.14 WHIP, 1 HR/9, 3.24 ERA and 10.7% HR/FB rate.
Cease (13-7, 2021) dominated in his road debut to start the season against the Tigers with eight strikeouts, two hits, three walks and one earned run in five innings. Cease was remarkable in his third season with Chicago, demonstrating a .220 average against, 31.9% strikeout rate, 1.25 WHIP, 1.09 HR/9, 3.91 ERA and 3.57 SIERA. The Rays will have four righties, three lefties and two switch-hitters against Cease. Much to the effect of Rasmussen’s tune, the splits for Cease were not drastic to either side, while his stint against righties last season produced a .220 average against, 31.5% strikeout rate, 1.28 WHIP, 0.97 HR/9, 3.95 xFIP and 10.6% walk rate that has been costly at times. Last year Tampa had a .240 batting average, .193 ISO and 111 wRC+ against righties. The White Sox bullpen performed among the better relief staffs in the Majors with a .229 average against, 27.9% strikeout rate, 1.15 HR/9, 1.25 WHIP, 3.97 ERA and 12.9% HR/FB rate although key contributor Craig Kimbrel has since departed. With projected win rates at a near coin toss, the plus-money odds on the Tampa Bay moneyline stand out as one of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for all of the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Cardinals vs. Brewers Under (-115), 8.8% xROI
- Athletics vs. Blue Jays Under (-110), 8.4% xROI
- Giants vs. Guardians Under (-110), 4.1% xROI
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