Friday kicks off a loaded weekend of Major League Baseball with all 30 teams in play today to determine expert MLB picks and predictions. Thirteen games begin from 7:05 p.m. ET and later, but the weather forecasts a number of trouble regions at risk of postponement. Utilizing Awesemo tools and data to highlight potential positive rewards and expected win rates, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to navigate the best MLB bets today based on these areas of interest.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on xROI, utilizing OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Rays vs. Mariners Over 7 Total Runs (+105)
The Tampa Bay Rays (16-10) take on the Seattle Mariners (12-14) with Josh Fleming on the mound against Logan Gilbert. With first pitch scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET, the weather forecasts a cool 50 degrees. On OddsShopper the Mariners are -125 moneyline favorites in a game with a 6.7 Vegas run total, while OddsShopper projects 6.8 runs and a 3.3% return on investment for the over. Fleming (10-8, 2021) has two wins and three losses over three starts in five games, posting a 20.5% strikeout rate, .324 average against and 45.5% hard contact. Last season Fleming managed a 14.5% strikeout rate, .266 average against and 1.35 WHIP. Tonight Fleming is expected to face four righties, four lefties and one switch-hitter. He earned a dismal 11.2% strikeout rate and 5.00 xFIP against righties and 1.95 home runs per nine innings against left-handed hitting last season. The Mariners have a .214 batting average, .704 OPS and 119 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this year.
Gilbert has four wins and a no-decision with a 24.8% strikeout rate, .180 average against and 0.93 WHIP in five starts this season. In his first major league season last year, Gilbert had a 25.4% strikeout rate, a .239 average against and 44.6% hard contact. He is due to face four righties, three lefties and two switch-hitters, and he has a .234 average against, 4.32 xFIP and 1.49 HR/9 against right-handed hitting for his career. When facing right-handed pitching, the Rays have a .238 batting average, .685 OPS and 109 wRC+ this year. With the high total and shaky pitching, OddsShopper projects the over at plus money to be one of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
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Cardinals vs. Giants Over 7 Total Runs (-110)
The St. Louis Cardinals (15-10) continue a road series with the San Francisco Giants (14-11) where they will send Jordan Hicks to the mound against Alex Cobb. The weather at first pitch is expected to be a cool 59 degrees with 81% humidity. The Giants are -125 moneyline favorites with a seven-run total, and OddsShopper projects seven runs and a -4.9% return on investment for the over due to the juice on a contested line. Hicks has one win and two losses over three starts in his first season as a starter — in addition to working out of the bullpen — earning a 26% strikeout rate, .171 average against and 5.28 FIP. Last season Hicks had a 22.7% strikeout rate, .147 average against and 1.5 WHIP. Tonight Hicks will face five lefties and four right-handed hitters. Over his career he has a .243 average against, 1.62 WHIP and 32.9% hard contact against left-handed hitting. When facing right-handed pitching this season the Giants have a .244 batting average, .705 OPS and 109 wRC+.
Cobb has a 28% strikeout rate, .311 average against and 1.9 WHIP in three starts this year. Last season he had a 24.9% strikeout rate, a .239 average against and 3.38 xFIP. Cobb is expected to face six righties, one lefty and two switch-hitters. Last year against right-handed hitting he had a .251 average against, 34.6% hard contact and 13.3% HR/FB rate. The Cardinals offense has a .226 batting average, .625 OPS and 90 wRC+ against righties this year. Given the low run total, OddsShopper projects this to be another of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Kansas City Royals Moneyline (+110), 12.4% xROI
- Pirates vs. Reds Under (-115), 5.5% xROI
- Tigers vs. Astros Over (-105), 5.5% xROI
- Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over (-110), 5.2% xROI
- Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline (+110), 5.7% xROI
- Boston Red Sox Moneyline (-170), 0.5% xROI
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