Major League Baseball begins the week with 11 games to determine some expert MLB picks and predictions. With two games leading into the nine-game evening schedule, weather does not appear to be threatening postponement across the game map. Buoyed by the industry-leading Awesemo tools, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to navigate the best MLB bets today based on these focal points.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on xROI, utilizing OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Dodgers vs. Pirates Over 7 Total Runs (-110)
The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-7) head east for a three-game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-16) with Julio Urias starting against Jose Quintana. The weather at PNC Park forecasts a sunny 70 degrees. The Dodgers are -245 moneyline favorites with a 7.4-run total, while OddsShopper projects a 7.9 expected run total and a 9.4% return on investment for the over. Urias has a 20.2% strikeout rate, .165 average against and 0.92 WHIP in five starts. In his dominant 2021 season, Urias posted a 26.2% strikeout rate, .216 average against and 3.13 FIP. Urias is expected to face four righties, three lefties and two switch-hitters. Last year, he had a .222 average against, 2.97 FIP and 0.72 home runs per nine innings against right-handed hitting. Pittsburgh’s offense when facing left-handed pitching this season has a .225 batting average, .640 OPS and 89 wRC+.
Quintana has a 20% strikeout rate, .231 average against and 1.25 WHIP in five starts. Last season, Quintana had a .284 average against, 4.66 FIP and 1.71 HR/9. Today, Quintana is expected to face five righties and four left-handed hitters. He had a .344 average against, 5.73 FIP and 38.3% hard contact surrendered when facing right-handed hitting in 2021. The Dodgers offense has a .227 batting average, .661 OPS and 96 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season. With the Dodgers averaging 7.05 runs per game, OddsShopper projects this total to be too short, making the over one of the best MLB bets today.
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Cubs vs. Padres Over 7 Total Runs (-105)
The Chicago Cubs (9-18) begin a western road trip against the San Diego Padres (19-10) sending Kyle Hendricks to the mound against MacKenzie Gore. The Padres are -160 moneyline favorites with a seven-run total, and OddsShopper projects 7.1 runs and a -1.6% return on investment for the over due to minor juice. Hendricks has a 17.2% strikeout rate, .275 average against and 5.51 FIP in six starts this season. Last year, Hendricks had a similar 16.7% strikeout rate, .275 average against and 1.54 HR/9. Tonight, Hendricks is in line to face four righties, four lefties and one switch-hitter. He had a .287 average against, 1.58 WHIP and 32% hard contact surrendered to left-handed hitting in 2021. The Padres have a .224 batting average, .663 OPS and 99 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.
Gore is off to an excellent rookie campaign with a 25.9% strikeout rate, .211 average against and 1.19 WHIP. He is expected to face seven righties and two switch-hitters tonight. This season, he has a 30.1% strikeout rate, .191 average against and 2.23 FIP against right-handed hitting. The Cubs have a .228 batting average, .693 OPS and 99 wRC+ against lefties this year. In spite of Gore’s strong start, the low run total with high-scoring offenses leads to OddsShopper projecting the over as another of the best MLB bets today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Kansas City Royals Moneyline (+115), 9.2% xROI
- Royals vs. Orioles Over (-105), 4.2% xROI
- Brewers vs. Reds Under (-120), 2.1% xROI
- Athletics vs. Tigers Under (-105), 1.8% xROI
- Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline (+102), 1.2% xROI
- Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (+105), 1.7% xROI
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