We enter a busy sporting Saturday with an all-day Major League Baseball schedule consisting of all 30 teams across the itinerary, splitting the day evenly with games to focus upon with Awesemo tools and data. The weather today isn’t quite as friendly as the past two days we’ve been treated to with a handful of spots to keep our eyes on prior to locking in wagers or lineups. Comparing the betting lines at OddsShopper in conjunction with our data and projections this article will make expert MLB picks and predictions to determine the best MLB bets today.
Each day, this article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline at Chicago White Sox (+115)
We’re back to the well after a disappointing outcome in this vein from Friday’s pick as the Tampa Bay Rays (4-4) hand the ball to Corey Kluber for his second start to duel Michael Kopech and the Chicago White Sox (5-2). Given a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch the weather at Guaranteed Rate Field forecasts a chilly 47 degrees with 28 mph wind gusts and no chance of rain. At OddsShopper we find the White Sox at -135 moneyline favorites with a 50% xWin to both teams and Saturday’s most rewarding 9.8% projected return on investment to the Rays moneyline. Kluber (5-3, 2021) began the season with a no-decision following five strikeouts, three hits allowed, four walks and no earned runs in 4 2/3 innings against the Orioles. Last season with the Yankees, Kluber managed a 24% strikeout rate, .244 average against, 1.34 WHIP, 0.90 home runs allowed per nine innings, and 9.7% walk rate. The veteran righty is scheduled to face a top-heavy White Sox order of seven right-handed hitters, one lefty, and one switch-hitter. Facing right-handed hitting last season Kluber produced a .267 average against, 21.3% strikeout rate, 1.5 WHIP, 1.5 HR/9, and 11.6% walk rate to improve upon. White Sox bats when facing right-handed pitching in 2021 was heavy handed hitting a .255 batting average, 22.4% strikeout rate, .162 ISO, 108 wRC+, and 14.2% home run to fly ball rate. The Rays bullpen relief was among the best in 2021 with a .222 average against, 25.6% strikeout rate, 1 HR/9, 1.14 WHIP, 7.6% walk rate, and 3.24 earned run average.
Similar to his opposition Kopech (4-3, 2021) began the season in a no decision affair allowing two hits, two walks, three strikeouts, and no runs earned in four innings pitched against Detroit. Kopech’s 2021 featured a .208 average against with a 36.1% strikeout rate, 1.13 WHIP, 1.17 HR/9, 13.4% HR/FB rate, and 3.5 ERA. The Rays hitting order is due to assign a mixed bag of four lefties, three righties, and two switch-hitters. Kopech’s splits against left-handed hitting from last year showcase a 46.2% strikeout rate, .176 average against, 6% walk rate, 1.18 xFIP, though a 1.48 HR/9 lends to concern in his case. Tampa’s offensive against right-handed pitching last season produced a .240 batting average, 24.4% strikeout rate, .324 wOBA, .193 ISO, 15.1% HR/FB rate, and 111 wRC+. Chicago’s bullpen was mutually impressive as Tampa’s with a 27.9% strikeout rate, .229 average against, 1.15 HR/9, 1.25 WHIP, 12.9% HR/FB rate, and 3.97 ERA. With split hairs on the expected win rate and fairly matched pitching by the numbers (particularly in the route of relievers), the nod from Awesemo data giving the edge in return on investment to Tampa’s moneyline on plus-money odds makes it one of Saturday’s best MLB bets today.
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Cardinals vs. Brewers Under 8.5 Total Runs (+100)
The St. Louis Cardinals (4-2) head into Game 3 of their divisional series with the Milwaukee Brewers (4-4) following a drubbing of ace Freddy Peralta on Friday, sending Steven Matz to the mound to battle Adrian Houser. The weather at American Family Field forecasts a chilly 42 degrees outside the dome at 7:10 p.m. ET in a temperature-controlled setting. Turning to OddsShopper‘s betting lines we discover the Brewers atop a -120 moneyline favorite as the Vegas run total sits at 8.6 runs while a projected run total of 8.1 runs carries a projected 8.1% return on investment for the under. Matz (14-7, 2021) began the season with a forgettable start earning seven runs and nine hits against, one walk, and five strikeouts in just three innings pitched against Pittsburgh. As indicative by his record last season Matz had a noteworthy 2021 producing a 22.3% strikeout rate, .264 average against, 1.08 HR/9, 1.33 WHIP, 3.82 ERA, and 12.3% HR/FB rate. Matz is in line to face a Brewers order of six righties, two lefties, and one switch-hitter. When facing right-handed hitters last year Matz earned a .261 average against, 20.1% strikeout rate, 1.16 HR/9, 1.33 WHIP, 6.8% walk rate, 4.12 FIP, and stranded 79.1% of batters reaching bases. Milwaukee’s last season resume against lefty pitchers demonstrated a .231 batting average, 24% strikeout rate, .279 BABIP, 13.4% HR/FB rate, and 90 wRC+. The Cardinals’ bullpen in 2021 earned a .219 average against, 23% strikeout rate, 1.32 WHIP, 0.79 HR/9, 3.97 ERA, and 10.2% HR/FB rate.
Houser (10-6, 2021) started his 2022 season with an outing to wash away after allowing four hits, three walks, and two runs earned with three strikeouts in 3 2/3 innings against Baltimore. Last year, Houser delivered his best season to date with a .224 average against, 17.5% strikeout rate, 1.28 WHIP, 0.76 HR/9, 3.22 ERA, and 10.6% walk rate in need of tailoring. Houser is scheduled to face off with six righties, two switch-hitters, and one lefty in the Brewers order. In facing right-handed hitting last season Houser produced a 19.1% strikeout rate, .192 average against, 0.99 WHIP, 0.84 HR/9, and 3.79 xFIP, although a 21.1% HR/FB rate remains frightening. St. Louis’ offensive effort against right-handed hitting in 2021 manufactured a .240 batting average, 22.2% strikeout rate, .155 ISO, .305 wOBA, 11.9% HR/FB rate, and 92 wRC+. Milwaukee’s bullpen in 2021 managed a .223 average against, 28.1% strikeout rate, 1.3 WHIP, 1.39 HR/9, 4.02 ERA, and 15.9% HR/FB rate that remains a threat. While home runs throughout the game remain cause for concern in lieu of the run total, Awesemo projected run totals and another of Saturday’s most favorable returns on investment pave way to the under in Milwaukee as one of the best MLB bets today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Twins vs. Red Sox Under (-110), 9.4% xROI
- Chicago Cubs Moneyline (+110), 4.8% xROI
- Rays vs. White Sox Under (-115), 7% xROI
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