Awesemo Daily Fantasy Sports
Awesemo Fantasy Football
Odds Shopper by Awesemo
Connect with us

mlb betting

Profitable, Data Driven MLB Best Bets Today + FREE $200 BetMGM link | Saturday 5/14/22

Avatar

Published

on

The weekend begins with a 16-game Saturday of Major League Baseball including a double-header and all 30 teams in action. We’re treated to three games featuring a run total of 9 or higher on OddsShopper, with six teams boasting a team total of five runs or more, as well as four divisional matchups to make expert MLB picks and predictions from. Weather forecasts a clean bill across all home stadiums, providing ease of mind from postponement threats while building your betting slips.


FREE MONEY: Get $200 for betting $10 on the Rays vs. Tigers!

Best MLB Bets Today: Free Picks & Predictions

Guardians vs. Twins O/U 8.5 Total Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

A turbulent start to the season for Shane Bieber provides an opportunity for a bounce back game as the Cleveland Guardians (15-16) face Devin Smeltzer and the Minnesota Twins (19-14) in their second of a three game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm Eastern time with weather at Target Field forecasting 71 degrees and moderate winds blowing out. The Guardians are -130 favorites with an 8.6 Vegas run total with OddsShopper projecting an 8.4 expected run total including a 9.3% return on investment for the under. If you find this bet to be too risky, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is BET $10 TO WIN $200 by betting Guardians vs Twins tonight.

Get up to $1,100 in first bet insurance

Bieber has had a worse start than seasons past with one win, two losses, and four no-decision outcomes in six starts with a 21.5% strikeout rate, 3.79 SIERA, and 43.3% hard contact surrendered. The outs may be harder to come by at times with Byron Buxton smacking a .432 ISO and 1.02 OPS, though the Twins’ 23.5% strikeout rate could alleviate some stress if he can find the zone early. Bieber will battle five righties where he managed a 29% strikeout rate and 0.89 home runs per nine innings against right-handed hitting last year.

Smeltzer sees his first action on the mound since one game in 2021 and a 20.8% strikeout rate, .288 average against, and 1.5 WHIP in eight games in 2020. Smeltzer’s 45% hard contact collides with Jose Ramirez and Owen Miller who’ve hit above a .221 ISO this season while the Guardians’ 86 wRC+ and .281 wOBA against left-handed pitching offers him breathing room. In combination with a lofty run total at hand, OddsShopper‘s expected run projection crests beneath making the under one of the best MLB bets today.

Pick: Guardians vs. Twins UNDER 8.5 Runs (-104)


FREE MONEY: Get $200 for betting $10 on the Rays vs. Tigers!

The Latest Sports Betting Content from Awesemo Odds


Phillies vs. Dodgers O/U Eight Total Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

The Philadelphia Phillies (16-17) have gotten the best of the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first two games of a four game series as they send Ranger Suarez to duel fellow southpaw Julio Urias tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm Eastern time with weather at Dodger Stadium forecasting a warm 80 degrees. The Dodgers are -189 moneyline favorites with an 8.2 Vegas run total as OddsShopper projects a 9 expected run total with 19.7% return on investment for the over.

Suarez has a better record than stat line in three wins, one loss, and two no-decision outcomes this season with a 16.7% strikeout rate, .269 average against, and 4.74 FIP. Suarez had a 14.3% home run to fly ball rate and 31.3% hard contact last season which could be troublesome given his diminished strikeout production. The Dodgers are middle of the league with a 22.2% strikeout rate and 97 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, while Trea Turner is swinging a .661 OPS against the split. Suarez is expected to face six right-handed hitters in the Dodgers order as he produced a 22.8% strikeout rate, 1.18 FIP, and 3.16 FIP against righties last year.

Urias remains on the mend with two wins, two losses, and two no-decision outcomes in six starts with a 19% strikeout rate down considerably from 2021, .223 average against, and 1.10 WHIP. Maintaining 30.3% hard contact from 2021 Urias faces a Phillies offense swinging a .179 ISO and 114 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers this season. Urias is expected to face a Phillies order with five righties including Nick Castellanos who’s smashed a .233 ISO and .406 on-base percentage against the split, while Urias earned a 25.1% strikeout rate, .222 average against, and 0.72 HR/9 against right-handed hitting in 2021. The over projects as another of the best MLB bets today.

Best MLB Bet & Prediction Today: Phillies vs. Dodgers OVER Eight Runs (-115)


FREE MONEY: Get $200 for betting $10 on the Angels vs. Athletics!

More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

  • Orioles vs. Tigers Over (-105), 6.2% xROI
  • Boston Red Sox Moneyline (+105), 3.3% xROI
  • Red Sox vs. Rangers Over (-105), 6.9% xROI
  • Yankees vs. White Sox Under (+110), 6.9% xROI
  • Kansas City Royals Moneyline (+140), 15.3% xROI

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!


Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.

Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Awesemo

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More Betting