The weekend begins with a 16-game Saturday of Major League Baseball including a double-header and all 30 teams in action. We’re treated to three games featuring a run total of 9 or higher on OddsShopper, with six teams boasting a team total of five runs or more, as well as four divisional matchups to make expert MLB picks and predictions from. Weather forecasts a clean bill across all home stadiums, providing ease of mind from postponement threats while building your betting slips.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free Picks & Predictions
Guardians vs. Twins O/U 8.5 Total Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
A turbulent start to the season for Shane Bieber provides an opportunity for a bounce back game as the Cleveland Guardians (15-16) face Devin Smeltzer and the Minnesota Twins (19-14) in their second of a three game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm Eastern time with weather at Target Field forecasting 71 degrees and moderate winds blowing out. The Guardians are -130 favorites with an 8.6 Vegas run total with OddsShopper projecting an 8.4 expected run total including a 9.3% return on investment for the under. If you find this bet to be too risky, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is BET $10 TO WIN $200 by betting Guardians vs Twins tonight.
Bieber has had a worse start than seasons past with one win, two losses, and four no-decision outcomes in six starts with a 21.5% strikeout rate, 3.79 SIERA, and 43.3% hard contact surrendered. The outs may be harder to come by at times with Byron Buxton smacking a .432 ISO and 1.02 OPS, though the Twins’ 23.5% strikeout rate could alleviate some stress if he can find the zone early. Bieber will battle five righties where he managed a 29% strikeout rate and 0.89 home runs per nine innings against right-handed hitting last year.
Smeltzer sees his first action on the mound since one game in 2021 and a 20.8% strikeout rate, .288 average against, and 1.5 WHIP in eight games in 2020. Smeltzer’s 45% hard contact collides with Jose Ramirez and Owen Miller who’ve hit above a .221 ISO this season while the Guardians’ 86 wRC+ and .281 wOBA against left-handed pitching offers him breathing room. In combination with a lofty run total at hand, OddsShopper‘s expected run projection crests beneath making the under one of the best MLB bets today.
Pick: Guardians vs. Twins UNDER 8.5 Runs (-104)
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Phillies vs. Dodgers O/U Eight Total Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Philadelphia Phillies (16-17) have gotten the best of the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first two games of a four game series as they send Ranger Suarez to duel fellow southpaw Julio Urias tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm Eastern time with weather at Dodger Stadium forecasting a warm 80 degrees. The Dodgers are -189 moneyline favorites with an 8.2 Vegas run total as OddsShopper projects a 9 expected run total with 19.7% return on investment for the over.
Suarez has a better record than stat line in three wins, one loss, and two no-decision outcomes this season with a 16.7% strikeout rate, .269 average against, and 4.74 FIP. Suarez had a 14.3% home run to fly ball rate and 31.3% hard contact last season which could be troublesome given his diminished strikeout production. The Dodgers are middle of the league with a 22.2% strikeout rate and 97 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, while Trea Turner is swinging a .661 OPS against the split. Suarez is expected to face six right-handed hitters in the Dodgers order as he produced a 22.8% strikeout rate, 1.18 FIP, and 3.16 FIP against righties last year.
Urias remains on the mend with two wins, two losses, and two no-decision outcomes in six starts with a 19% strikeout rate down considerably from 2021, .223 average against, and 1.10 WHIP. Maintaining 30.3% hard contact from 2021 Urias faces a Phillies offense swinging a .179 ISO and 114 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers this season. Urias is expected to face a Phillies order with five righties including Nick Castellanos who’s smashed a .233 ISO and .406 on-base percentage against the split, while Urias earned a 25.1% strikeout rate, .222 average against, and 0.72 HR/9 against right-handed hitting in 2021. The over projects as another of the best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bet & Prediction Today: Phillies vs. Dodgers OVER Eight Runs (-115)
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