Saturday’s Major League Baseball itinerary includes 28 teams and several double headers to confirm expert MLB picks and predictions. With one postponement already issued, the weather across the league landscape conveys a looming rain-out threats in Philadelphia and Baltimore, so be sure to keep an eye if your wagers involve that game. Equipped with the industry leading Awesemo tools and data to highlight potential positive rewards and expected win rates, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to navigate the best MLB bets today based on these areas of interest.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on xROI, utilizing OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
White Sox vs. Red Sox Under 8 Total Runs (-110)
The Chicago White Sox (12-13) continue a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox (10-17) assigning Dylan Cease to duel Nick Pivetta. With first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET, time the weather at Fenway Park forecasts a cool 47 degrees. On OddsShopper the White Sox are -125 moneyline favorites with an 8.1 Vegas run total while Awesemo’s MLB Betting Model projects a 7.5 expected run total including an 11.2% return on investment for the under. Cease (13-7, 2021) has three wins, a loss, and a no decision outcome in five starts this season with a 33.9% strikeout rate, .163 average against, and a 1.97 FIP. In 2021 Cease achieved a 31.9% strikeout rate, .220 average against, and 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Today, Cease will face a Red Sox order of six righties and three lefties, which he has earned a 30.3% strikeout rate, .219 average against and 3.69 FIP when facing right-handed hitting career to date. The Red Sox have a .231 batting average, .629 OPS, and 80 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.
Pivetta (9-8, 2021) has managed four losses and a no decision outcome in five starts this season with a 21.9% strikeout rate, .301 average against, and 1.74 HR/9. Last season Pivetta earned a 26.5% strikeout rate, 4.28 FIP, and 40.5% hard contact surrendered. The White Sox are expected to assign six righties, two switch-hitters and one lefty to their order, which Pivetta produced a .235 average against, 1.41 HR/9, and 4.15 FIP against right-handed hitting in 2021. Chicago’s offense has a .211 batting average, .597 OPS, and 77 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. With both offenses struggling to generate runs, OddsShopper projects the under at standard juice to be one of the best MLB bets today.
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San Diego Padres Moneyline (-120)
The San Diego Padres (18-9) proceed to Game 3 of their four-game homestand against the Miami Marlins (12-14) where they assign Sean Manaea to the mound to face Pablo Lopez. The weather at first pitch in Petco Park forecasts at 63 degrees. At OddsShopper, the Padres are -120 moneyline favorites with a 57% expected win and a 4.6% return on investment for the San Diego moneyline. Lopez (5-5, 2021) has earned three wins, a no-decision outcome and a loss in five starts this season with 28.3% strikeout rate, .190 average against, and 0.89 WHIP. In 2021, Lopez managed a 27.5% strikeout rate, 13.3% home-run-to-fly-ball rate, and 3.49 SIERA. Tonight, Lopez is expected to face a balanced Padres order of four righties, four lefties and one switch-hitter, which he’s earned a .261 average against and 1.3 WHIP against left-handed hitting and 16.8% HR/FB rate against righties over his career. The Padres offense when facing right-handed pitching this season have a .227 batting average, .678 OPS, and 103 wRC+.
Manaea (11-10, 2021) has two wins, two losses, and a no decision outcome in five starts with a 24.8% strikeout rate, .191 average against, and 1.07 WHIP this season. Last year Manaea managed a 25.7% strikeout rate, .254 average against, and 3.66 FIP. The Marlins are expected to assign eight righties and one left-handed hitter to their order which Manaea had a .271 average against, 1.35 WHIP, and 3.81 FIP against right-handed hitting in 2021. Miami’s offense has a .200 batting average, .599 OPS, and 80 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season. San Diego has shown bursts of success of offense while Manaea is off to an improved start over last season as OddsShopper projects the Padres moneyline to be another of the best MLB bets today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Pirates vs. Reds Game 1 Under (+100), 2.9% xROI
- Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game 1 Over (-105), 3.9% xROI
- Cardinals vs. Giants Under (-105), 1% xROI
- Dodgers vs. Cubs Game 2 Over (-110), 4.8% xROI
- Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over (-110), 2% xROI
- Rays vs. Mariners Over (-120), 3.8% xROI
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