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Best MLB Bets Today with HUGE ROI Thursday 5/5/22

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The Thursday calm before the weekend storm in Major League Baseball offers 10 games for expert MLB picks and predictions. At an early glance, the weather across the league landscape appears to be clear of any delays or postponements, though it is advised to have another look before any wagers are locked. Equipped with the industry’s finest tools and data from Awesemo to highlight potential positive rewards and expected win rates, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to navigate the best MLB bets today based on these focal points.

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This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.

Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Over 8 Total Runs (+105)

The Toronto Blue Jays (16-10) begin a four-game road series with the Cleveland Guardians (11-13) where they assign Jose Berrios to start against Aaron Civale. With first pitch scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET, the weather at Progressive Field forecasts a brisk 54 degrees with 71% humidity. At OddsShopper the Blue Jays are -155 moneyline favorites with a 7.7 Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects a 7.9 expected run total including a 4.4% return on investment for the over. Berrios (12-9, 2021) has two wins and three no-decision outcomes in five starts, earning a 17.9% strikeout rate, .287 average against and 1.5 home runs per nine innings. Last season, Berrios earned a 26.1% strikeout rate, .221 average against and 38.3% hard contact surrendered. Tonight Berrios is expected to face five righties, three lefties and one switch-hitter. He had a .254 average against, 1.3 WHIP and 1.51 HR/9 facing left-handed hitting last year. The Guardians hitting has swung a .276 batting average, .782 OPS and 131 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.

Civale (12-5, 2021) has had a rough start with two losses and two no-decision outcomes in four starts earning an 18.7% strikeout rate, .333 average against and 5.74 FIP. Last season Civale achieved a 19.9% strikeout rate, .233 average against and 1.66 HR/9. Civale is due to face a eight righties and one left-handed hitter. He has managed a 17.5% strikeout rate, .275 average against and 16% home run to fly ball rate against right-handed hitting career to date. The Blue Jays’ offense when facing right-handed pitching has a .242 batting average, .703 OPS and 105 wRC+ this year. Despite Berrios’ improvements, both pitchers allow home runs, OddsShopper projects the over as one of the best MLB bets today.

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Marlins vs. Padres Under 7 Total Runs (-110)

The Miami Marlins (12-12) head west for a four-game series with the San Diego Padres (16-9) where they will send Jesus Luzardo to start against Nick Martinez. With a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch, the weather at Petco Park forecasts a comfortable 65 degrees with 72% humidity. At OddsShopper the Padres are an even +100 moneyline with a 7.2 Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects a 7.1 expected run total and 2.3% return on investment for the over. Luzardo (6-9, 2021) has two wins, a loss and a no-decision outcome with a 34.1% strikeout rate, .178 average against and 2.31 FIP. Last season, Luzardo managed a .275 average against, 5.48 FIP and a 17.7% HR/FB rate. Tonight Luzardo is slated to face five righties, three lefties and one switch-hitter. In 2021, he earned a .289 average against, 2.29 HR/9 and 6.07 FIP against right-handed hitting. The Padres’ hitting against left-handed pitching this season has a .234 batting average, .739 OPS and 119 wRC+.

Martinez (3-8, 2017) has a win, two losses, and a no-decision outcome in four starts earning a 20.7% strikeout rate, .284 average against and 2.29 HR/9. In his last season in 2017 with Texas, Martinez managed a .277 average against, 2.1 HR/9 and 5.8 FIP. Tonight Martinez is expected to face six righties and three left-handed hitters. He has a .286 average against, 30.7% hard contact and 4.78 FIP against right-handed hitting throughout his career. The Marlins have achieved a .247 batting average, .729 OPS and 118 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Despite both offenses manufacturing runs, OddsShopper projects the Marlins and Padres to remain under the total, solidifying another of the best MLB bets today.

Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.

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More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today

  • Los Angeles Angels Moneyline (-125), 1.7% xROI
  • Cardinals vs. Giants Under (-110), 3% xROI
  • Tigers vs. Astros Over (-115), 0.3% xROI

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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