Tuesday brings all 30 Major League Baseball teams to the schedule, including one double-header to select today’s expert MLB picks and predictions. Scattered showers are affecting games in the Midwest with potential for postponements to keep tabs on throughout the day. Equipped with Awesemo tools and data to highlight potential positive rewards and expected win rates, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to address the best MLB bets today based on these focal points.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Over 7.5 Runs (+100)
The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-13) have won five of their past seven games as they head south to face the Miami Marlins (12-10), assigning Humberto Castellanos to the start against Trevor Rogers. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET with the weather at loanDepot Park forecasting a humid 81 degrees. The Marlins are -155 moneyline favorites with a 7.2 Vegas run total, while OddsShopper data projects a 7.2 expected run total and -1% return on investment for the over. Castellanos (2-2, 2021) earned a win, a loss and a no-decision in three starts removed from bullpen work, and he has a 12.9% strikeout rate and .278 average against this year. Last season featured similar issues where Castellanos managed a 14.8% strikeout rate, .268 average against and 32.7% hard contact that has increased in 2022. Castellanos faces six righties and three left-handed hitter in the Marlins order, surrendering a .317 average against right-handed hitters and 1.51 home runs per nine innings to lefties to date. Miami’s offense has improved against right-handed pitching this season with a .248 batting average, .730 OPS, and 119 wRC+.
Rogers (7-8, 2021) has earned a no-decision and three losses in four starts, and he has an 18.4% strikeout rate and .239 average against. Last season Rogers delivered a 28.5% strikeout rate, .215 average against and 36.3% hard contact. Tonight Rogers will face four righties, two lefties and three switch-hitters in the Arizona order. Rogers has a .258 average against, 26.4% hard contact and 1.62 WHIP against left-handed hitters throughout his career. The Diamondbacks swung a .253 batting average, .741 OPS and 98 wRC+ against left-handed pitching in 2021, though they are struggling this season. At plus money odds and a contested Vegas run total, it is safe to go a bit against the grain here leaning to the over as one of our best MLB bets today.
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Angels vs. Red Sox Under 8.5 Total Runs (-110)
The Los Angeles Angels (15-9) begin a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox (9-14) where they will assign Noah Syndergaard to the mound against Michael Wacha. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET with the weather at Fenway Park forecasting a cold 50 degrees with 76% humidity. At OddsShopper the Angels are -120 moneyline favorites with an 8.5 Vegas run total and Awesemo data projecting an 8.1 expected run total with a 4.3% return on investment for the under. Syndergaard (10-8, 2019) has earned two wins and a no-decision in three starts with a 16.4% strikeout rate, .164 average against and 0.82 WHIP. In 2019’s larger sample size, Syndergaard achieved a 24.5% strikeout rate and 1.23 WHIP. Syndergaard will face five righties and four left-handed hitters in Boston’s order. He has a 28.8% strikeout rate and 2.78 xFIP against righty hitters throughout his career. The Red Sox are swinging a .232 batting average, .628 OPS and 80 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in 2022.
Wacha (3-5, 2021) has two wins and two no-decisions in four starts this season, achieving a 21.3% strikeout rate, .141 average against and 3.95 xFIP. Last season, Wacha produced a 22.9% strikeout rate and .268 average against. Wacha is set to face five righties and four lefties in the Angels’ order. He earned a 24.2% strikeout rate and 1.81 HR/9 against right-handed hitting last year. The Angels are hitting a .238 batting average, a .740 OPS and 120 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in a one-month sample size. Given two pitchers rebounding their resumes in 2022, OddsShopper projects the under as another of the best MLB bets today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- White Sox vs. Cubs Over (+100), 5.7% xROI
- Washington Nationals moneyline (+132), 9.9% xROI
- Nationals vs. Rockies under (-105), 3.9% xROI
- Giants vs. Dodgers over (-105), 25.8% xROI
- Rays vs. Athletics over (+102), 7.9% xROI
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