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Best MLB Bets Today with HUGE ROI Wednesday 4/20/22

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Best MLB bets today free expert MLB picks predictions player props baseball bets Jose Berrios

It is Wednesday, which means all-day Major League Baseball! Beginning with Pirates vs. Brewers at 1:40 ET, there is a slew of MLB matchups to carry fans through hump day including a doubleheader in Cleveland and all 30 teams to make some expert MLB picks and predictions using Awesemo tools and data. Using these and the latest betting lines and optimized features at OddsShopper this article will determine the best MLB bets today.

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This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.

Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Reds vs. Padres Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105)

The Cincinnati Reds (2-10) have struggled to get in the win column and send Vladimir Gutierrez to the mound in hopes of avoiding the sweep by southpaw MacKenzie Gore and the San Diego Padres (8-5). Given a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch, the weather at Petco Park forecasts a cloudy 67 degrees. Turning to OddsShopper, the Padres are heavy -189 moneyline favorites with an 8.1 Vegas run total and Awesemo projections of 8.3 expected total runs inclusive of a -2.5% return on investment for the over. Gutierrez (9-6, 2021) has yet to record a win this season, with just seven strikeouts in two starts including a combined 11 hits against, five runs earned and five walked batters in 8 1/3 innings pitched thus far. In 2021 Gutierrez found some success with plenty of room for improvement (and a 93.3 mph fastball now down over one mph) including a 17.7% strikeout rate, .258 average against, 1.41 WHIP, 9.3% walk rate, 1.58 home runs per nine innings and a 4.74 ERA. Gutierrez will face four righties, four lefties and one switch-hitter. Plate splits for Gutierrez fared much greater against fellow righties while his tenure against left-handed hitting produced a 13.7% strikeout rate, .255 average against, 1.49 WHIP, 11.2% walk rate, 2.15 HR/9, 6.56 FIP, and 16.3% HR/FB. The Padres facing right-handed pitching in 2021 developed a .243 batting average, 21.7% strikeout rate, .729 OPS, .314 wOBA, 99 wRC+ and 13.5% HR/FB rate. Cincinnati’s bullpen relief last season shored a 26.8% strikeout rate, .233 average against, 1.38 WHIP, 1.45 HR/9, 4.99 ERA and 15.2% HR/FB rate.

Gore (0-2 AAA, 2021) turned in a decent first start to the season with no-decision in four innings pitched against the Braves earning three hits against, two walked batters, two runs against and three strikeouts. In six minor league starts last season Gore managed a .289 average against, 18.8% strikeout rate, 12.5% walk rate, 1.8 WHIP, 1.35 HR/9, 5.85 ERA and stranded just 61% of batters reaching bases. Gore is projected to face six righties, two lefties and one switch-hitter. Cincinnati’s hitting when facing left-handed pitching last year manufactured a .225 batting average, 23.6% strikeout rate, .685 OPS, .299 wOBA, 80 wRC+ and 13.4% HR/FB rate. The Padres relief work out of the bullpen in 2021 demonstrated a 24.6% strikeout rate, .226 average against, 1.24 WHIP, 1.16 HR/9, 3.62 ERA and 13.2% HR/FB rate. Provided two starting pitchers who have troubles stranding batters in addition to high walk rates, Awesemo data projects a favorable high offensive outcome as the over in Reds vs. Padres becomes one of the best MLB bets today.

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Under 9 Total Runs (-120)

The Toronto Blue Jays (6-5) have Jose Berrios taking on Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (6-5). With a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch, the weather at Fenway Park forecasts a cool 53 degrees with 10 mph western winds and 36% humidity with no chance of rain. On OddsShopper the Blue Jays are -130 moneyline favorites with a 9.2 Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects 8.8 expected total runs including a whopping 10.1% return on investment for the under. Berrios (12-9, 2021) has yet to record a win in two no-decision contests earning a combined nine hits and seven runs against, five walked batters and five strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Yankees and Rangers. Last season Berrios found new life in Toronto as he managed a 26.1% strikeout rate, .221 average against, 1.06 WHIP, 5.8% walk rate, 1.03 HR/9 and 3.52 ERA. Berrios will face six righties and three right-handed hitters. Berrios’ plate splits in 2021 saw much success against fellow righties as he engineered a .193 average against, 24.4% strikeout rate, 0.86 WHIP, 0.61 HR/9 and 2.99 FIP. Red Sox bats when facing right-handed pitching last season produced a .260 batting average, 23.7% strikeout rate, .788 OPS, .200 ISO and 109 wRC+. Toronto’s bullpen relief from 2021 managed a .228 average against, 24.6% strikeout rate, 1.3 HR/9, 9.7% walk rate, 1.28 WHIP, 4.08 ERA and 14.8% HR/FB rate.

Pivetta (9-8, 2021) is off to a rocky start this season in two losses against the Yankees and Twins earning a combined nine hits and eight runs against, five walked batters and six strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings pitched. Last year in his first season with Boston, Pivetta demonstrated a 26.5% strikeout rate, .232 average against, 9.8% walk rate, 1.3 WHIP, 1.39 HR/9 and 4.53 ERA. Pivetta will face seven righties and two left-handed hitters. Facing fellow right-handed opposition in 2021, Pivetta managed a 26.6% strikeout rate, .235 average against, 1.23 WHIP, 1.41 HR/9, 8.5% walk rate, 4.15 FIP and 13.4% HR/FB rate. The Blue Jays’ offensive efforts against right-handed pitching last season exercised a .264 batting average, 19.8% strikeout rate, .793 OPS, .202 ISO and 111 wRC+ with a 15.7% HR/FB rate. The Red Sox bullpen relievers in 2021 produced a .241 average against, 25.6% strikeout rate, 1.39 WHIP, 1.04 HR/9, 4.23 xFIP, 3.99 ERA and 12.2% HR/FB rate. While the offenses project to put up their share of runs, the Awesemo data projections shine light on a salvageable expected run total and the best return on investment that isn’t under postponement threat as the under in Blue Jays vs. Red Sox cements another of the best MLB bets today.

Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.

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More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today

  • Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-115), 3.7% xROI
  • Rays vs. Cubs Under (-120), 12.2% xROI
  • Kansas City Royals Moneyline (+105), 4.2% xROI
  • New York Mets Moneyline (+105), 7.4% xROI

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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