Wednesday brings a typical split schedule of Major League Baseball with all 30 teams in tow to select expert MLB picks and predictions. With first action starting at 12:40 p.m. ET, the weather appears safe across the matchup landscape for now. Utilizing the arsenal of Awesemo tools and data to highlight potential positive rewards and expected win rates, this article will filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper to address the best MLB bets today based on these focal points.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+130)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-13) play Game 1 of a doubleheader against the Detroit Tigers (7-14) where they will assign Dillon Peters to the start against Michael Pineda. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and the weather at Comerica Park forecasts a cool 53 degrees. At OddsShopper the Tigers are -130 moneyline favorites with a 7.6 Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects a 46% expected win rate for the Pirates with a 6.9% return on investment. Peters (1-2, 2021) has three wins and four no-decisions in the majority of work out of the bullpen with a 20.9% strikeout rate and 92.5 mph fastball up this season. Last year Peters earned a 19.7% strikeout rate, .245 average against and 41% hard contact surrendered. Today Peters faces a Tigers order of six righties, one lefty and two switch-hitters. He has an 18.6% strikeout rate, .273 average against and 1.68 home runs per nine innings against right-handed hitting. The Tigers facing left-handed pitching have a .264 batting average, .689 OPS and 108 wRC+ this season.
Pineda (9-8, 2021) began the season with a win and a loss in two starts earning four strikeouts, 10 hits against and four runs earned against in 10 innings. Last season Pineda managed a 19.2% strikeout rate, .262 average against and 1.4 HR/9. Today Pineda’s facing a Pirates order of five righties, three lefties and a switch-hitter. He has earned a 24.5% strikeout rate, .244 average against and 3.83 FIP against right-handed hitting career. The Pirates hitting has swung a .235 batting average, .629 OPS and 86 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Though featured pitching may give up the occasional long ball for damage, offenses in play have struggled to do so as OddsShopper projects positive returns on a Pittsburgh moneyline on a contested win rate leaning into one of the best MLB bets today.
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Mariners vs. Astros Over 7.5 Total Runs (-112)
The Seattle Mariners (12-12) look to steal a win in their road series conclusion against the Houston Astros (13-11) sending Matt Brash to the mound against Justin Verlander. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. At OddsShopper the Astros are -190 moneyline favorites with a 7.9 Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects an 8.3 expected run total with a 7.4% return on investment for the over. Brash began his rookie season with a win, two losses and a no-decision outcome earning a 20.8% strikeout rate, .286 average against and 1.59 HR/9. Brash faces an Astros order of six righties and three left-handed hitters and has earned a 13.3% strikeout rate, .316 average against and 6.36 FIP against right-handed hitting this year. The Astros hitting when facing right-handed pitching has a .220 batting average, .675 OPS and 102 wRC+ this season.
Verlander (21-6, 2019) has returned to two wins, a loss and a no-decision in four starts earning a 29.8% strikeout rate, .157 average against and 3.0 FIP. In his last full season, Verlander achieved a 35.4% strikeout rate, .171 average against and 1.45 HR/9. Verlander is tasked with a Mariners order of four righties, four lefties, and one switch-hitter. In 2019, he earned a 31.6% strikeout rate, .182 average against, and 1.58 HR/9 against right-handed hitting. The Mariners’ offense facing right-handed pitching has a .238 batting average, .694 OPS and 112 wRC+ this season. With an Astros offense getting into a rhythm of late, OddsShopper projects the over against a modest Vegas run total to be another of the best MLB bets today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- San Diego Padres Moneyline (-140, Game 1), 2.4% xROI
- Padres vs. Guardians Under (-105, Game 1), 3.7% xROI
- Twins vs. Orioles Over (-110), 5% xROI
- Angels vs. Red Sox Under (-115), 7.4% xROI
- Washington Nationals Moneyline (+130), 11.1% xROI
- Nationals vs. Rockies Under (-115), 2.8% xROI
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