Tonight Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings will host Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas Cowboys. There are various places to go for both game and NFL prop bets, and BetMGM Sportsbook is a great place to look for this Week 8 Sunday Night Football game. Here are some of the best NFL bets and picks to make tonight.
BetMGM Week 8 NFL Best Bets: Sunday Night Football
Point Total: Over 52 (-110)
Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model is the place to look before placing any bets. The model compares the current point totals the sportsbook provides compared to what the expected point total should be, and the same for money lines and point spreads. The model gives an expected point total of 52.5 points. BetMGM is offering 52 as the point total. With the expected point total being 0.5 points above the BetMGM point total, the over is the bet. This line opened at 55 when it was believed Dak Prescott would play, who is now a game-time decision. If Prescott is active, the over looks even better. The other traditional bets are difficult to make; if Prescott were active, Dallas would be favored to win, but right now the odds are showing the Vikings as a strong favorite to win (-3 points, -155 moneyline).
Justin Jefferson Receptions Made: Under 6.5 (-115)
When looking for player props, Awesemo’s Player Props Tool is the place to see what players are projected to do compared to the odds offered at sportsbooks. At the time of this writing, there are no Dallas passing nor receiving props posted due to Prescott’s uncertainty. Justin Jefferson is projected for 6.04 receptions. This bet has a 67% chance of winning and a 27% expected ROI. Jefferson averages 6.83 receptions per game. His median is six receptions, and he had six receptions or fewer in three of his six games this year.
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards: Under 75.5 (-105)
The Player Props Tool projects Ezekiel Elliott for 68.88 yards rushing. Elliott averages 86.83 yards rushing per game this season, and his median yards rushing is 71 per game. The model gives the under a 63% chance of winning and an expected ROI of 18%. While Minnesota has the No. 26 run defense, allowing 128 yards per game, there is also Tony Pollard in the backfield, and with Prescott potentially out, the offense could struggle to sustain drives.
Dalvin Cook Receptions Made: Under 3.5 (-110)
The Player Props Tool projects Dalvin Cook for 3.13 receptions. Cook averages three receptions per game but has a median of two. He has gone under this line in three out of four games he has played this year. This bet has a 64% chance of winning and an expected ROI of 19% when the line is -115, so it would be an expected ROI of over 20% with the line on BetMGM set at -110.
One-Game Parlay (+525)
The best one-game parlay at BetMGM is a series that projects well in the Player Props Tool: Kirk Cousins under 299.5 yards passing (286.52 projected), Adam Thielen under 69.5 yards receiving (63.77 projected), Cook over 79.5 yards rushing (88.83 projected) and Pollard under 44.5 yards rushing (39.54 projected). If all four legs of this parlay hit, that wins 5.25x the bet.
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