NFL Best Bets: Week 8 Thursday Night Football Odds & Picks on BetMGM Sportsbook

Tonight Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals will host Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. There are various places to go for both game and NFL prop bets, and BetMGM Sportsbook is a great place to look for this Week 8 Thursday Night Football game. Here are some of the best NFL bets and picks to make tonight.

BetMGM Week 8 NFL Best Bets: Thursday Night Football

Point Total: Under 50.5 (-110)

Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model is the place to look before placing any bets. The model compares the current point totals the sportsbook provides compared to what the expected point total should be, and the same for money lines and point spreads. The model gives an expected point total of 49.5 points. BetMGM is offering 50.5 as the point total. With the expected point total being 1 point below the BetMGM point total, the under is the bet.

Kyler Murray Yards Rushing: Under 28.5 (-115)

When looking for player props, Awesemo’s Player Props Tool is the place to see what players are projected to do compared to the odds offered at sportsbooks. Kyler Murray is projected for 24.34 yards rushing. This bet has a 72% chance of winning and was a 37% expected ROI when the odds were -110. Murray averages 18 yards rushing per game. His median is 19 yards. He has gone under the above total in five out of seven games this season.

Aaron Rodgers Yards Passing: Under 260.5 (-105)

The Player Props Tool projects Aaron Rodgers for 253.57 yards passing. Rodgers averages 244.29 yards per game. He has hit the under in four out of seven games this season and now is without Davante Adams and Allen Lazard. Green Bay is No. 17 in the NFL in passing play percentage (58.75%), and Arizona is No. 3 in opponent yards passing allowed, averaging 201 yards allowed per game.

James Conner Yards Rushing: Over 45.5 (-110)

The Player Props Tool projects James Conner for 61.11 yards rushing. Conner averages 48 yards per game, and the last two weeks he has rushed for 64 and 71 yards. Arizona is favored by nearly one touchdown; the run game should be heavily utilized. Arizona is already No. 30 in pass play percentage, as they run the ball 48.5% of the time. Green Bay has the No. 22 run defense in the NFL, allowing 120.9 yards per game. When the line was at 44.5 the bet was expected to win 70% of the time, but there is still some good value on the bet at this new line of 45.5.

One-Game Parlay (+375)

The best one-game parlay at BetMGM is a series that projects well in the Player Props Tool: Aaron Jones under 44.5 yards receiving (32.67 projected), Kyler Murray under 279.5 yards passing (267.32 projected), Christian Kirk three or more receptions made (3.51 expected) and Aaron Rodgers 20 or more pass completions (22.62 projected). If all four legs of this parlay hit, that wins 3.75x the bet.

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