Tonight Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys will host Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. There are different places to go for both game and NFL prop bets. BetMGM Sportsbook is a great place to look for this Week 3 Monday Night Football game, and these are some of the best NFL bets and picks to make tonight.
BetMGM Week 3 NFL Best Bets: Monday Night Football
Point Total: Over 51 (-115)
Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model compares the current point total the sportsbook provides compared to what the expected point spread should be, and the same for spreads and moneylines. The model shows an expected point total of 51.3 points, and BetMGM has the total set at 51. When the line was set at 51.5, there was a slight edge to the under. This game has a great chance at going over; Dallas has the worst pass defense in the league, allowing an average of 346 yards passing per game. Philadelphia is No. 4, allowing just 162.5 yards passing per game, but they have faced both the Falcons and 49ers, two teams that are not passing well this year. On the flip side, Philadelphia’s run defense is not good; they are No. 23 in the NFL, allowing 120.5 yards rushing per game. Dallas has put up as many as 29 points in a game, and Philadelphia has put up as many as 32. If worried about the 51-point total being close to expectation, there is an alternative total of over 50 points (-130).
Dak Prescott Pass Completions: Over 25.5 (-110)
When looking for player props, look at Awesemo’s Player Props Tool to see what players are projected to do compared to the odds offered at sportsbooks. Dak Prescott completing over 25.5 passes is one of the best prop bets of the night, as the model gives a projection of 28.66 completions on the night. Prescott completed 42 passes during Week 1 against Tampa Bay and 23 in Week 2 against the Chargers. Dallas is the ninth-most pass-heavy team, as they pass 64.23% of the time, and are No. 6 in plays per game (68.5). Taking these two metrics, one could set an expectation of 44 pass attempts on the night. If that is the case, Prescott would have to complete 59% of his passes for this bet to win. His completion percentage over his career is 66.4%.
Cedrick Wilson Receptions Made: Over 2.5 (+105)
The props tool projects Cedrick Wilson to catch 3.35 passes, with a 66% chance of winning the bet. Amari Cooper has a rib injury but is expected to play. Wilson only had two targets last week, but he is expected to garner more targets in the Michael Gallup role.
One-Game Parlay (+550)
The best one-game Parlay at BetMGM is Miles Sanders over 50 yards rushing (61.81 projected), CeeDee Lamb over 74.5 yards receiving (82.15 projected), Ezekiel Elliott over 59.5 yards rushing (66.53 projected) and Jalen Hurts over 224.5 yards passing (254.53 projected). If all four legs of this parlay hit, the payout is 5.5x.
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