The Virginia Cavaliers are still the defending champions of NCAA DI men’s basketball due to the cancellation of last year’s tournament, and they’ll look to go on another run this season. Unfortunately, they play in the West Region, so they’ll have to take on Gonzaga if they want to move beyond the Sweet 16. If Virginia does go on a run, it’ll have to start with a win over the Ohio Bobcats, and here are the college basketball betting lines and best bets for that matchup.
Ohio vs Virginia | College Basketball Betting Lines, Odds & Picks
Date: Saturday, Mar. 20, 2021
Start Time: 7:15 p.m. EST
Bracket: West Region
Virginia fell out of the ACC tournament due to a positive COVID-19 test, and their exit paved the way for Georgia Tech to earn a finals bid. Led by freshman forwards Sam Hauser and Jay Huff, Virginia ranks 13th at Kenpom and 12th in the NCAA’s NET rankings. They field a relatively balanced roster, but they fare better in adjusted offensive efficiency, as they rank 12th in the metric compared to 33rd for adjusted defensive efficiency.
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Their opponents, the Ohio Bobcats, won the MAC tournament as a five seed. They rank surprisingly high in at Kenpom, where they sit at 82nd, although they’re only 87th in the NET rankings. Like Virginia, they play better offense than defense. They rank 33rd in adjusted offensive efficiency but only 179th in adjusted defensive efficiency.
While the efficiency ratings point to a barnburner, Virginia plays at the slowest pace in the nation. The efficiency metrics mask the fact that the Cavaliers give up the fourth-fewest points per game (60.5) but score only the 219th-most (68.6).
FiveThirtyEight gives the Bobcats only a 14% chance to win. That’s the worst such probability of all the 13-seeds. It’s somehow even lower than the win pre-tournament win probability of all but one 14-seed, too.
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Ohio vs Virginia Spread College Basketball Betting Lines + Best Bets
Unsurprisingly, Virginia is favored to win this game, although I am surprised to see that they’re not more heavily favored. That said, we’re likely to see a slow-paced battle, so that may make it harder for the Cavaliers to cover a 7-point spread.
If you favor Virginia, you’ll find the best deal on them as 7-point favorites at PointsBet (-104). Should you prefer the Bobcats, you’ll have to look elsewhere for more value. SugarHouse, BetMGM and DraftKings Sportsbook have the best offers on them as 7-point underdogs (-110).
Lines may move as tip-off approaches, so make sure to check out OddsShopper before confirming your bet.
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Ohio vs Virginia Total College Basketball Betting Lines + Best Bets
Given Virginia’s incredibly slow pace, it’s unsurprising to see the total set this low. Virginia’s games have averaged 129.1 total points, a nose below most of these totals, although Ohio’s offensive efficiency suggests that they can score an above-average number of points against the Cavaliers.
If you favor the over, you’ll find the lowest-set total at BetMGM. However, it may be worth adding a point and a half for better juice at SugarHouse or DraftKings Sportsbook (-108). Should you favor the under, SugarHouse and DraftKings Sportsbook have the highest-set totals, while BetMGM has the best juice (-105).
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Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including West Region March Madness picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament.
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