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4/5/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props | Kyrie Irving

Henry John



Only one week remains in what has been a long, grueling NBA regular season. After the Association took last night off to cede the spotlight to the NCAA Tournament title game, the action resumes in earnest this evening. Tuesday’s slate features a whopping 12 games. Multiple seeding battles are yet to be settled with regard to the postseason picture. The Play-In Tournament contestants are not yet officially decided in the Western Conference either. It should be a wild week of basketball ahead, and there will certainly be plenty of NBA betting props to pursue.

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You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Tuesday’s loaded NBA card.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Moses Brown Over 9.5 Rebounds (-115, FanDuel)

The Cleveland Cavaliers are playing out the stretch of the regular season without each of their top two bigs. Both Jarrett Allen and rookie Evan Mobley will remain sidelined for a very winnable game this evening against the Orlando Magic. Given the absences, Moses Brown has been thrust into the starting lineup recently. So far, it’s hard to argue with the results he has been providing. He has nearly achieved double-double lines in each of the last four games. With increased minutes in each of the last three contests, Brown has finished with no fewer than 12 rebounds.

Brown should be in line for at least 25 minutes again this evening considering the lack of depth the Cavs are currently dealing with in the frontcourt. However, it’s worth pointing out that he still managed to snare 12 rebounds despite playing only 20 minutes in the team’s most recent game. In terms of the matchup, Orlando ranks 27th in the NBA in terms of Rebound Rate on the season. Thus, there are multiple reasons to look to the over on Brown’s NBA player props total of 9.5 rebounds.

At the time of writing, OddsShopper indicates that the NBA betting market has remained fairly stationary in terms of the prices for this prop. Despite the standard -115 odds on the over, Awesemo gives this prediction a hefty 18% expected ROI value. A projection for Brown to finish with 10.74 rebounds equates to a win probability of 63%.

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Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists (+105, DraftKings)

It may seem contrarian to bet any NBA player props to the under in a matchup against the Houston Rockets. This sentiment only grows stronger when one considers a superstar offensive talent like Kyrie Irving. However, both the personnel situation that the Brooklyn Nets are facing combined with the porous defense they face actually suggest that there might be value in betting under 6.5 assists for Irving tonight.

During his abbreviated campaign, Irving has averaged 5.6 assists per contest. While he has dished out at least six assists three times in the last five games, only once has he successfully eclipsed the NBA betting line of 6.5. One could make the argument that the absences of Goran Dragic and Seth Curry in tonight’s game would only lead Irving to dish more assists. The reverse argument begs the question of who, would he be passing to? Outside of Irving himself and Kevin Durant, the reliable scoring weapons on the Nets roster are scarce.

Considering that the Rockets are the worst defensive team in the league, one could also argue that Irving will simply look to attack and score himself. He certainly figures to have no trouble doing so in this matchup. The fact that OddsShopper shows bettors can score a plus-money price on the under for this NBA props offering only adds to the allure. After all, Irving would need to exceed his per-game assists average by 1.4 to record the seven necessary to slip over. Although Awesemo’s exact projection of 6.40 assists leads to little statistical value, the favorable odds help boost the ROI to 11%.

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Tyus Jones Over 2.5 Rebounds (-150, PointsBet)

The proof is in the pudding when it comes to the ability of Memphis Grizzlies point guard Tyus Jones to go over tonight’s NBA player props rebound total of 2.5. As OddsShopper shows heavy juice to the over across the betting market, it is clear that this is the preferred side once again. In all honesty, it’s a bit surprising that oddsmakers have not bumped the total up an additional rebound. After all, Jones has amassed four rebounds or more in each of his last four games played. Add in a three-rebound performance before that and he has successfully cleared the NBA props line in five of the last six contests.

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That same span of games correlates to when Jones took over as the starting point guard in Memphis. Given that Ja Morant remains sidelined with an injury, Jones is once again in line to log plenty of minutes tonight. Tonight will see the Grizzlies match up with a reeling Utah Jazz squad in a matchup between the top two rebounding teams in the NBA. While this suggests a difficult game for guards like Jones to have an impact on the glass, high-level rebounding opponents have not deterred him recently.

Jones finished with four rebounds apiece against both Golden State and Milwaukee during his time as the starter. Both of those teams join Memphis and Utah with top-five Rebound Rate rankings on the season. While heavy juice on NBA betting picks can be a deterrent, OddsShopper does suggest that optimal -150 odds offer up to 17 cents of value relative to other listings in the market. Awesemo pegs the Jones for 3.57 rebounds in tonight’s game. Along with a hefty 69% win probability, the ROI (juice and all) for this over prediction sits at 14%.

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