Awesemo's Expert Super Bowl Picks, Best Bets & Predictions

Our betting experts, using the OddsShopping tool are giving out their top bets for the 2022 Super Bowl. Never used OddsShopper before? Make sure to check it out. It offers the best line in the industry on any bet, AND our team of data scientists provide you with an expected winning percentage and ROI on that bet. The entire Awesemo team has compiled their favorite prop bets, predictions in one easy Super Bowl betting sheet. See all of the Awesemo expert Super Bowl picks below, and check out all of our other Super Bowl prop bets and predictions.

Expert Super Bowl Bowl 56 Betting Picks & Prop Bets

Eric Lindquist: Cam Akers Under 64.5 Rushing Yards -115 (BetMGM)

Coming off a game where Sony Michel saw 57% of the running back snaps compared to Cam Akers‘ 37%, a third variable has been added to the mix with the possible availability of Darrell Henderson. It’s hard to know if Akers getting dinged up or his two fumbles versus the Buccaneers was the main culprit for the decreased workload, but this number assumes a massive workload at his putrid 2.6 yards per carry rate in four games this season.

Ben Rasa: Joe Burrow Over 10.5 Rushing Yards –110 (FanDuel)

With the pass rush of the Rams causing problems for the Bengals offensive line it makes sense for Burrow to look for some timely scrambles to relieve that pressure. Burrow is coming off a game where he had 5 carries for 25 yards including an 11 yard scramble, so it seems like he can easily push into double-digit rushing yards in this spot.

Matt Gajewski: Ja’Marr Chase MVP +1800 (PointsBet)

Outside of quarterbacks, receivers are the most likely position to win the MVP. Assuming the Bengals win, Ja’Marr Chase has a solid shot at this award through his big play ability. Chase leads the Bengals in target share, air yards share, and average depth of target, but the Rams also allowed the second-most completions of 20+ yards this year.

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Matt Savoca: Joe Mixon Under 4.5 receptions (BetMGM)

For the Super Bowl, the Awesemo projections tend to favor several under bets on reception props. According to OddsShopper, seven of Awesemo’s nine highest-probability receptions prop bets for Super Bowl 56 are under bets. The highest-probability under play of them all is for Mixon. He has been used frequently as a receiver at times this year and earned five or more reception in four of his last five games. But Mixon continues to get spelled in clear passing downs by Samaje Perine, who also has been making the most of his limited opportunities this postseason. While Mixon has continued to prove himself a capable receiver, he had just three receptions for 27 yards against the Chiefs. The Rams ranked No. 1 in PFF’s team defensive grade and top 10 in both yards per carry and yards per pass attempt allowed this season, and the Awesemo projections are suggesting a fairly frustrating day for Mixon. His range of outcomes is fairly large in this contest. He is still a high-volume player in a potential shootout, and he is in the optimal lineup in DFS nearly a third of the time in Awesemo’s latest sims. But in most of those sims, even when successful, he gets there in a way other than through the air. Mixon comes up short of five receptions in a whopping 77% of Awesemo’s latest Super Bowl simulations.

Alex Baker: Sony Michel Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (PointsBet)

Cam Akers had a rough game two games ago, but in the NFC Conference Championship game, Sony Michel did absolutely abysmal, rushing 10 times for 16 yards and going 1/2 for -4 yards receiving. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Darrell Henderson play more than anyone’s expecting, given the struggles of Michel and Akers.

Dave Loughran: Under 6.5 Bengals to Have a Reception +100 (DraftKings)

Here’s a fun one: Joe Burrow has gone four straight games where six or fewer of his pass catchers have had receptions. It makes sense, too, because the Bengals only use three receivers, two running backs and presumably only one tight end in the passing game if C.J. Uzomah is healthy enough to play without a snap count. The window is tight here, but at even money I like this a lot. With one of the most concentrated offenses in football, it only makes sense for Zac Taylor to continue feeding his trusted players in the biggest game of their lives —now we just have to hope for no big man touchdown receptions or trick plays on Sunday night.

Eytan Shander: Joe Mixon O 25.5 Receiving Yards -120 (DraftKings)

There aren’t many scenarios that would play out on Sunday where Joe Mixon is off the field. He’s recently been more integral in the passing attack, as Mixon has cleared this number in five straight games, with at least three targets in each of them.

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