This article will examine the Week 5 NFL best bets for the Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Monday Night Football game. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment for their NFL prop bets. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the three best bets for tonight’s Monday Night Football game.
FanDuel Week 5 NFL Best Bets: Monday Night Football
Carson Wentz Over 20.5 Completions and Over 9.5 Yards Rushing
Wentz is coming off arguably his best game of the young season, leading Indianapolis to its first win with a 27-17 victory over Miami last week and posting a 115.1 passer rating. He completed 24 of 32 passes for 228 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Dolphins. Wentz has completed at least 19 passes in each of the first four weeks and has a completion percentage of 63.8%, which is the third highest of his career.
Wentz has a good matchup against a Baltimore defense that ranks in the bottom third of the league in pass defense. The Ravens are allowing nearly 25 completions a game to opposing quarterbacks, as teams are attempting over 38 passes a game for a 63.5% completion percentage. Denver was the only team that failed to complete at least 20 passes against the Ravens this year as Teddy Bridgewater and Drew Lock were a combined 19-for-37. Wentz is projected for 22.57 completions tonight, with the over having a 65% chance of hitting. The return on investment is 28%.
Wentz has always been able to use his legs to escape trouble. While he has not run the ball well the past two weeks, he figures to run the ball more often against a Ravens defense that likes to bring pressure. Wentz is averaging over three rushing attempts a game and 4.9 yards per carry, although he had 60 yards on nine attempts over the first couple of weeks. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging over 5 yards per attempt against the Ravens. Wentz is projected for 13.51 yards rushing tonight, with the likeliness of the over listed at 64%. The return on investment is expected to be 21%.
Sammy Watkins Over 39.50 Yards Receiving
This year Watkins has not been overly efficient, as he already has four drops and a catch rate of just 55.2%, which is his lowest since 2016. However, Watkins has seen a lot of action as the team’s third option in the passing game. He has been targeted at least seven times in each of the first four games, coming up with four receptions per game. Watkins has 16 catches for 257 yards, over 11 yards per catch and an average depth of 13.7 yards per target; the latter two are career highs.
Indianapolis’ defense is one of the best in the league against the pass, allowing just 18 completions a game. However, the Colts secondary has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete over 64% of their passes to wide receivers, for an average of more than 15 yards per catch. Watkins is projected for 50.91 yards tonight. While FanDuel has Watkins’ over/under at 50.5 yards, the odds have dropped from -115 to -113. The likeliness of the over hitting is 61%, and the return on investment is expected around 15%.
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