This article will look at the best Week 3 NFL bets for the Carolina Panthers vs. Houston Texans Thursday Night Football game. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the three best for tonight’s Thursday Night Football game.
FanDuel Week 3 NFL Best Bets: Thursday Night Football
Robby Anderson Over 3.5 Receptions and Over 42.50 Yards Receiving
Anderson is coming off a career season, hauling in a team-best 95 passes for 1,095 yards, but he has fallen to the third option for the Panthers this year — behind D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey. He has just four receptions, on nine targets, for 95 yards and one score.
There is good news for Anderson, who has been on the field for 77.1% of the team’s offensive snaps — the fourth-highest percentage among Carolina’s skilled position players — over the first two games. Anderson has a good rapport with quarterback Sam Darnold from their time with the Jets, and he was more involved in the offense last week — – bringing in three of six targets — than in Week 1. So, it figures that the 6th-year pro will become increasingly more involved in the offense as opposing defenses focus more and more on stopping Moore and McCaffery.
There is no better time than the present for Darnold and Anderson to demonstrate the chemistry that they developed while in New York tonight against Houston. The Texans’ secondary hasn’t been challenged this year as they faced Jacksonville and rookie Trevor Lawrence in Week 1 and then Baker Mayfield and the Browns focused on running the ball and short and effective passes last week.
Robby Anderson Over 42.50 Yards Receiving
Anderson is projected to haul in 4.52 passes on Thursday, with the likeliness of him going over the total listed at 61%. The return on investment is a solid 19.2%. Anderson is also projected to garner 59.1 receiving yards against Houston. The over has a 72% of chance of hitting, with the return on investment being 26.7%. However, this is a more favorable bet on FanDuel as they list the prop at 44.5 yards and -113 odds, so bet now as the odds could change before kickoff.
This year, Anderson and Moore have seemingly exchanged roles, with Anderson running the deeper routes and Moore becoming more of the “go-to-receiver.” He is averaging career-highs in yards before catch/per reception (17.6), average depth of target (21.0), and yards per reception (6.0). Anderson totaled 46 receiving yards or more in 12 of his 16 appearances in 2020.
Brandin Cooks Under 5.5 receptions
Cooks has been the Texans’ No. 1 receiver since coming over from the Los Angeles Rams before the 2019 season. He has been targeted 21 times (fifth most in NFL) and has 14 receptions (T-11th) for 210 yards (5th). He will be the Texans’ primary receiving weapon tonight as fellow wide receiver Danny Amendola (thigh) has been ruled out.
However, Davis Mills will make his first career start behind center as Tyrod Taylor has been placed on injured reserve. Mills, who completed 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards along with one touchdown and one interception off the bench against Cleveland last week, faces the NFL’s top-ranked defense that has only allowed 18 completions (third-fewest) on 32 targets to receivers this year. Expect the Panthers’ defense, which has racked up 10 sacks, to throw a lot of different looks at Mills.
Cooks is slated to have 4.94 receptions versus the Texans. The under projection is given a 71% chance of hitting with the expected return on investment at 15.3%.
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