Whether you are a pro making your own PGA betting picks or just getting into the game, betting on golf provides a great way to sweat the action. Like most other professional sports, there are plenty of ways you can bet on golf; with outright winners, head-to-head matchups, and plenty more, golf betting offers a wide array of PGA odds and wagers. There will certainly be an edge to be found each and every week, starting with the Farmers Insurance Open.
That’s why we are debuting our PGA betting series. It consists of three articles:
- Outrights & Each Way (this one)
- Head-to-Head Matchups
- Jason’s Bet of the day (stole this idea from Awesemo’s own Ben Rasa)
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Before we dive headfirst into my foursome of picks for this week, I want to make sure that we define terms for those of you who are brand new.
Outright: A bet that is placed on a golfer to win the tournament.
Each Way: A bet that covers a golfer for the top-five, top-10 and top-20 bets offered.
Article Results (Four Picks Per Week)
12 Total Picks:
- Wins: 0
- Top-5’s: 2
- Top-10s: 4
- Top-20s: 7
While our chance for a win on Sunday relied on Abraham Ancer matching what Patrick Cantlay ended up doing, he couldn’t do so but still gave us a nice placement at +550 on the top-five, +350 on the top-10 and +150 on the top-20. However, that wasn’t the best return I tipped, as Ryan Armour did me well, tying for 16th. While the top-20 payouts were suggested at 15-1 if your book has dead-heat rules, the payout was likely a bit less than 15-1 since 22 golfers were inside the top 20, probably something in the 10/1 range. Overall, it was a very profitable week, and I am 3-for-3 this year.
Here is a breakdown of how I bet each week and how I allocated the funds in a sample using $100 bet per week.
PGA Betting Picks: Farmers Insurance Open Outrights
Hideki Matsuyama
Outright: 29-1 | Top 5: 11-2 | Top 10: 3-1 | Top 20: 3-2
Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but the tee-to-green game is on point for Matsuyama right now. His putting display, however, has been dreadful. But a switch to poa greens here at Torrey Pines may be just what he needs to get over the hump and put that tee to green game to good use.
Click here to view the rest of the odds for this week’s field.
Brooks Koepka
Outright: 37-1 | Top 5: 15-2| Top 10: 4-1 | Top 20: 9-4
While the missed cut at the American Express last week looks ugly, it really was a back-nine blunder on Friday that cost Koepka. He had gotten down to 4 under, was putting well, and the irons looked to be coming around, but a tugged tee shot found the water on 13. He wasn’t able to recover. But the great thing about golf is that he gets to do it again this week. He announced he split with his swing coach back in November and hasn’t announced who his new one is yet. It’s likely Pete Cowen, who is primarily his short-game coach.
Gary Woodland
Outright: 70-1 | Top 5: 14-1 | Top 10: 15-2 | Top 20: 4-1
Judging by his stats and my eyes (after watching him a good bit over the first two days), it looks like Woodland’s injury problems may be behind him. This is his second week in a row competing, so that’ll be a big test, but if he has another good start this week, his odds will be half of this for next week’s event. I want to jump on him here at longer odds and only his second straight week of playing rather than his third.
Outright: 95-1 | Top 5: 16-1 | Top 10: 8-1 | Top 20: 4-1
While the first round of the year looked as dreadful as it could have for Burns, he had a nice bounce back on Friday, shooting 6-under 66. That’s good enough for me to jump back on at double the odds. Granted, the field is a lot stronger this week, so I think his upside is capped around a top 10 or 15.
Bomb(s) of the Week: Will Gordon
Outright: 600-1 | Top 5: 90-1 | Top 10: 40-1 | Top 20: 20-1
There’s a saying that we use here on the Awesemo golf a lot, and it’s you can’t just keep playing/betting the same guy each week. Well, sadly, had I stuck with Doug Ghim for just one more week, I would have cashed in a huge each-way bet on him, starting at 33-1 for the top-five. So, I’m giving Gordon one more shot. Applying some of the things we know about this course, driving distance matters. Gordon has proved himself to be one of the longest on tour and has seemingly done better on more difficult tracks, i.e., the Houston Open and the Travelers. This is his last shot, but at least it’s at the longest PGA odds we’ve seen from him, maybe ever.
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