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Bet OVER 10 Runs for Red Sox vs Yankees Tonight: Expert MLB Picks, Vegas Odds & Predictions for Thursday, 7/15/21




Awesemo's FREE MLB FanDuel Picks Daily Fantasy Baseball and DFS cheat sheet based on Alex Baker's expert DFS projections for July 25.

MLB comes out of the All-Star break with a nationally televised ESPN game between two longtime hated rivals, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. A pair of southpaws will take the mound in the Bronx, as it will be Eduardo Rodriguez (6-5, 5.52 ERA/1.37 WHIP) against Jordan Montgomery (3-4, 4.16 ERA/1.23 WHIP). With it being the lone game on the slate, there are not as many baseball betting picks today, but let’s dive into the storied rivalry and find some of the best MLB Vegas odds to use when making MLB picks tonight.

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Preview: MLB Picks & Vegas Odds

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Info

Boston Red Sox (55-36, 27-17 Away) at New York Yankees (46-43, 23-22 Home)
Date: Thursday, July 15, 2021
Time: 7 p.m. EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium – New York City, N.Y.
Coverage: ESPN

BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez – LHP (6-5, 5.52 ERA/1.37 WHIP – 104 K, 14 HR in 89.2 IP
NYY: Jordan Montgomery – LHP (3-4, 4.16 ERA/1.23 WHIP – 95 K, 11 HR in 93.0 IP

Boston was clearly the better team in the first half, as it sits atop the AL East standings. New York is eight games out of first place, so this is certainly a series that will determine how the rest of its season goes.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for the Red Sox, and 2021 has not gone as planned. Things have been particularly rough on the road, as opposing hitters are ripping him to the tune of a .306 batting average compared to .237 at Fenway Park. In two starts (11.2 innings) against the Yankees this season, Rodriguez is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

Jordan Montgomery has been a mixed bag this season, looking phenomenal in one outing and then faltering the next. If he had any ideas about easing himself back into the second half of the MLB season, he better think again. Boston comes into the Bronx with some heavy artillery tonight, sporting the eighth-best ISO (.167) against left-handed pitching. In only one start (six innings) against the Red Sox this season, Montgomery is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts.

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting MLB Picks + MLB Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the MLB odds for Red Sox vs. Yankees betting across the major sportsbooks. The odds expressed are from 12 p.m. EST on July 15, so make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Trends

– BOS: 6-0 vs. NYY this season (36-17 in runs)
– BOS: 22-13 as an underdog this season
– BOS: 15-8 as a road underdog this season
– BOS: 21-10 vs. AL East opponents
– NYY: 17-24 vs. AL East opponents

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

A lot of runs should go up on the board tonight, as evidenced by the double-digit total. Both teams rank in the top 10 of wOBA against left-handed pitching (NYY: .332, fifth; BOS: .328, ninth), and this is one of the best hitting ballparks in all of baseball. One thing about this matchup is that there is plenty of familiarity to go around for everyone. The batter-pitcher angle is quite interesting considering each team has some players with a great history against the starting pitcher tonight.

A trio of Yankees have really gotten after Rodriguez, while a couple of Red Sox have made things difficult on Montgomery:

  • Christian Vazquez vs. Montgomery: 5-for-10, HR
  • Xander Bogaerts vs. Montgomery: 9-for-17, 2 XBH
  • Luke Voit vs. Rodriguez: 5-for-13, 4 XBH (1 HR)
  • Gio Urshela vs. Rodriguez: 6-for-19, 2 XBH (1 HR)
  • Gleyber Torres vs. Rodriguez: 7-for-19, 5 XBH (3 HR)

While the bullpens did get plenty of rest over the All-Star break, the Yankees’ pen is just too volatile to trust at the moment. The Red Sox lineup is filled with quality hitters, and they will likely be the primary reason this total gets into the double digits.

Prediction: Over 10 runs – BetMGM

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