This has been one of the hottest player props in NBA betting this season and, while I considered laying off in this spot, some injury news wound up getting me in. Using the help of OddsShopper to locate the best plays and prices, let’s analyze some NBA betting picks for Lakers – Piston — primarily on Jerami Grant.
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NBA Betting Picks & Predictions | Top NBA Odds
Jerami Grant OVER 21.5 Points
If you read my content, you know we’ve been on this one a lot. It’s hard to stay away, as Grant is an absurd 15-3 to the over on his point prop through 18 games with the Pistons. At one stage, he sat at 13-1, cashing 13 in a row, but he hit the under on both Friday and Saturday’s games. Grant’s 11-point game against Philadelphia on Saturday is really the only red flag with this play, as Grant is in a similar situation with the Pistons on another back-to-back for this game against the Lakers.
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That said, Grant has bounced back strong, scoring 25 points on Monday and 26 on Wednesday, yet his prop remains a little depressed from the poor weekend. We saw this over on Grant peak at 23.5 just six days ago, and he is now back down to 21.5. Part of the reason could be the matchup against the Lakers, an excellent defensive team; but Anthony Davis‘ absence takes away some blowout potential as well as a terrific defender that might’ve gotten some minutes on Grant. Grant is averaging 24.4 points per game this season, so a number that is about 3 points low feels too cheap after all that success. Grant has also made 10 free throws in three of his last four games, I like the upside of getting it done at the free throw line if it turns into a poor shooting night.
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