MLB Picks, Odds & Best Player Prop Bets Today: Yu Darvish OVER 6.5 Ks

Tuesday, July 20, brings a 13-game slate with a lot of great spots to attack for MLB betting predictions. With the help of Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, I have gone over all of the MLB Vegas odds and found the best MLB picks. Below you will find my expert picks and some of the best MLB player prop bets today.

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Expert MLB Picks, Vegas Odds & Best Player Prop Bets

German Marquez vs. Mariners: Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+105, William Hill)

German Marquez has been spectacular at Coors Field this year. The greatest hitting park in the league does not seem to bother him. Only allowing a 4-degree launch angle, he keeps the ball on the ground which helps him go deep in games to pile out strikeouts at a 25% clip. Facing the Mariners tonight boosts his potential as well, as they are bottom five in strikeouts this season. Awesemo’s player props tool loves this bet and projects Marquez to eclipse the strikeouts needed at a 63% probability.

Yu Darvish vs. Braves: Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-108, FanDuel)

Hopefully Yu Darvish will actually get to pitch tonight, as this was the game postponed last night even though only a few drops of rain fell in Atlanta. Either way, this current incarnation of the Braves lineup only has two players striking out at less than a 20% clip. Newly acquired Joc Pederson strikes out at 25%, and that is actually the third best in the projected lineup. Darvish, on the other hand, has struck out 30% of batters this year and has not had to pitch in almost two weeks, declaring himself 100% healthy. This is a great spot to jump on a reduced strikeout total for one of the best pitchers in the league against a beleaguered offense missing Ronald Acuna.

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Jesse Winker Home Run vs. Mets (+350, SugarHouse)

Although Awesemo’s model expects the Mets to win this game, it is also projecting quite a few runs for both sides tonight in Cincinnati. Jesse Winker has had an incredible season with 48% hard hits, 11% barrels and an xSLG of .514. He is also only striking out 17% of the time, which will help him against Robert Stock tonight. Stock’s primary weapon is his strikeouts; when batters make contact he gives up 46% hard hits and xSLG of .453. This is a great spot for Winker to add to his lofty power numbers.

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