After a strong weekend, let’s jump into some MLB betting picks on Monday, Sept. 20. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best MLB bets for today.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Freddie Peralta Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-128)
Unders on strikeout props are uncommon in this article, but tonight’s under props are so good they are popping up in the Awesemo model. Peralta has had a fantastic year with strikeouts but is facing a stingy strikeout team tonight in the Cardinals. Only two players in their projected lineup carry a strikeout rate over 20%. Peralta’s big problem is walks, and that has crept up recently and limited how deep he has gone in games. This is the model’s favorite lock spot of the night.
Robbie Ray Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-109)
This is another under bet with a prolific strikeout pitcher who carries control risk in a tough matchup. Tampa Bay has quietly become an offensive juggernaut with the addition of Nelson Cruz at the trade deadline. Their lineup facing left-handers is scary, with Cruz, Randy Arozarena and Jordan Luplow. Robbie Ray has had a resurgent year, but this is a great spot to take an under on strikeouts at the lofty total of 8.5, getting even money.
Jared Walsh to Hit a Home Run (+650)
It feels as if Awesemo’s model loves Jared Walsh in the home run department, but that is simply because books keep providing these huge odds on one of the best power threats in the league. The books always seem to give great odds on lefty/lefty matchups. Framber Valdez is a sinkerball pitcher that gives up well above average hard contact and below-average strikeouts. Valdez limits the number of barrels he gives up, but this is another great spot to take a ground-ball pitcher against a lefty power hitter that loves putting the ball in the air.
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