The playoffs are here, and it is time to dig into some baseball betting advice for the Yankees vs. Red Sox AL Wild Card game on Tuesday, Oct. 5. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: AL Wild Card Player Props
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-149)
Gerrit Cole is taking the mound in the AL Wild Card playoff game against the Red Sox. It is going to be on the cooler side, and winds are blowing in gently. This will benefit pitchers today in what is usually one of the best hitting environments at Fenway Park. Also, J.D. Martinez and his hitting prowess are missing from the Boston lineup tonight, benefiting Cole further. Boston does not strike out much as a unit, but having Martinez out and Bobby Dalbec and Christian Arroyo in is certainly a plus for Cole.
Nathan Eovaldi Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-168)
Nathan Eovaldi has had a fantastic season in his own right, giving up little power and generating league-average strikeouts. The Yankees have cut down on striking out lately but still offer a good matchup. However, seven strikeouts make for a tall order for a pitcher that does not have an elite strikeout rate at the level of Cole’s, in a game where managers will look to get into the bullpen as early as possible when they get a lead. Eovaldi is great at limiting his pitch count and getting deeper into the game, and that is diminished in a play-in game.
Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (+425)
The best and only +EV home run spot according to Awesemo’s model is Kyle Schwarber facing Gerrit Cole. Cole has been elite this season but has had a lot of problems giving up solo home runs. Schwarber has an excellent 17.5% barrel rate and an xSLG of .551. While Cole strikes out more left handers, he also gives up more line drives, fly balls and power to lefties this season. This is for sure a long-shot bet, but those can be fun for playoff games, and Schwarber presents great value for a home run bet.
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