Yesterday’s column hit on the home run play, so let’s jump into some baseball betting advice for the Cardinals vs. Dodger NL Wild Card game on Wednesday, Oct. 6. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: NL Wild Card Player Props
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+104)
Max Scherzer’s strikeout prop is one of the best bets on the board for the entire postseason. The Cardinals have six players with strikeout rates of at least 20%, and Scherzer has 34% strikeouts this season. There is not much to say other than, while eight strikeouts sound aggressive, it is a great play at plus odds. Scherzer also rarely gets pulled early due to ineffectiveness and will likely have a 100-pitch leash tonight, even in a play-in game.
Adam Wainwright Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)
This should be a great matchup of starting pitchers tonight in Los Angeles. Adam Wainwright has had another great season despite being 40. He has given up fewer barrels than Scherzer this year, and his strikeout rate is a decent 21%. And although the Dodgers do not strike out much, Wainwright’s prop of over 4.5 is very enticing and has a 55% chance of cashing tonight, which is better than the plus odds at most books. With Cody Bellinger and Matt Beaty at the bottom of the lineup, Wainwright gets a boost as well.
Tyler O’Neill to Hit a Home Run (+345)
Awesemo’s model is not high on any player to hit a home run tonight. However, the Cardinals have two home run threats for bets tonight, and Tyler O’Neill jumps out the most. He has an xSLG of .570, a fantastic 52% hard-hit rate and an 18-degree launch angle. Scherzer gives up a decent number of barrels at 8% and a 20-degree launch angle. This bet has +345 odds, which is strong for a home run wager.
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