NASCAR returns to the Midwest for 400 miles around Kansas. Let’s dive into our expert NASCAR picks this week and go over a few options for the outright market, positional selections and best NASCAR bets and predictions for the AdventHealth 400 on Sunday, May 15.
NASCAR Picks & Predictions: AdventHealth 400 at Kansas
Kevin Harvick to Win (+1600)
Over at DraftKings Sportsbook, the sharps couldn’t or wouldn’t take a stand on an outright. Thus, the foursome of Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch, and Denny Hamlin all sit tied atop the board at +700. However, at BetMGM, it’s the familiar name of Kyle Larson leading all drivers at +600. Interestingly enough, Larson just notched his 13th-straight week of being the favorite for the 2022 championship despite having gone winless since Auto Club. Underneath Larson, it’s that same gaggle of Elliott (+800), Busch (+800), and Hamlin (+900) leading the outright charts with William Byron tying Hamlin for the fourth-highest odds.
However, this week’s attention needs to turn to Kevin Harvick, currently sitting at 16-1 odds to win this Sunday. Harvick has favorable track history at Kansas, with four straight top-four finishes to his name as well as three wins during the 750-horsepower era of the Generation 6 car. While past track history is up for debate, as per relevance to the Generation 7 vehicle, it can’t be ignored the level of consistency that Harvick is running for a supposed washed-up driver past his prime. Excluding high variance tracks (Daytona, Atlanta, Talladega, Bristol Dirt), Harvick has an average finish of eighth in eight races with no finish worse than 14th. As the races click off, it appears that Harvick and crew chief Rodney Childers are getting a better grasp of this new vehicle and it’s only a matter of time before this results in a victory.
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Harvick, Byron or Blaney to Win (+320)
Harvick’s merits as a race winner have already been listed. As previously stated, Byron comes in tied with the fourth-highest odds to win and he was a Joey Logano bump and run away from winning his third race of 2022, instead ending his day in 13th. Nobody is finding their way to the lead with more consistency than Byron thus far, leading laps in nine of 12 races, and 544 total laps with 396 of those coming in the past six weeks.
As far as Blaney, his past Kansas numbers would suggest a driver to bet against with an average finish of 23rd in his past six races there. However, this bet is more about the speed that Blaney showed at Las Vegas – this season’s best corollary race to gauge against this Sunday. Blaney’s day ended early, unfortunately, but he ranked top three in short and long-run practice speeds and backed that up with the fifth-best green flag speed ranking. At Las Vegas, speed in practice was a strong foreshadowing of speed in the race, and all of the drivers who finished in the top five ranked top ten in green-flag speed. If Blaney can demonstrate that same speed on Saturday, he could be a strong threat to win this race on Sunday.
More Picks, Parlays and Best Bets for the AdventHealth 400
The following is a list of interesting bets currently offered by BetMGM:
- Erik Jones top 10, -125
- Featured Matchup: Kevin Harvick -110 over Tyler Reddick
- Manufacturer of Winning Car: Chevrolet -115
- Top Ford Car: Kevin Harvick +350
- Top Toyota Car: Kyle Busch +210
- Kevin Harvick to be top Ford, Kyle Busch to be top Toyota, and Alex Bowman to be top Chevrolet, +10000
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