Expert NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks This Weekend | Wise Power 400

The NASCAR series makes its return to Fontana, California for 400 miles around Auto Club Speedway at the Wise Power 400. Going over all of the NASCAR betting odds this weekend, this article will be looking at some of the best betting options. Below you will find some of the best expert NASCAR betting picks and predictions for Sunday’s Wise Power 400.

Expert NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks | Wise Power 400

Ryan Blaney, +1000 to Win

With Sunday’s action being the first race in the Generation Seven era not conducted at a superspeedway (Daytona) or a quarter-mile track that was literally created for an exhibition event (The Coliseum), expectations are all over the place for just what will happen at Auto Club Speedway. However, the one variable that will not change is the track and its general abrasiveness. Cars should fan out initially on the wide track and then as tire levels degrade, single-file racing should ensue with the bulk of passing occurring on pit road.

However, there is the unknown of initial setups and any adjustments from their 15-minute practice sessions. Until Saturday afternoon, this data will remain a mystery, but if Los Angeles and Daytona have been any early indication, it should be expected that the Fords will still have some type of early advantage after four victories in four races. With this in mind and a nod towards track history, Ryan Blaney tops the chart for outright bets at 10/1 odds. Before his 20th place finish in 2020, Auto Club had been a track that Blaney had run fairly consistently at with back-to-back top-10 finishes and an average running position of sixth with 20 laps remaining. Auto Club’s sister track, Michigan International Raceway, saw Blaney win there last summer. For those not quite comfortable or confident in Blaney to win, BetMGM is offering Blaney at +140 to finish in the top five.


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Race Matchup – Aric Almirola -110 Over Ross Chastain

In what is still a toss-up betting-wise, Aric Almirola is even money against Ross Chastain (-110) for Sunday’s event. Due to the equipment disadvantage that Chastain has had throughout his career at Auto Club Speedway, it is not fair to either Almirola or Chastain to compare their numbers side-by-side. That said, bettors can look at Almirola’s baseline stats and argue whether Chastain is capable of matching or exceeding these in the Trackhouse Racing 1 vehicle.

As far as Almirola goes, his past three visits to Fontana have resulted in no finish worse than 12th and they have incrementally gotten better with each race. In his last three races at Michigan, his results have not been as good, with finishes of 16th, sixth and 17th last season. Chastain will need to take a top 10 finish to match or beat Almirola. That seems like a tough scenario to envision for Chastain, especially when it is boiled down to the teams both drivers are racing for. Almirola has the backing of Stewart-Haas Racing, the team he has spent the past three seasons racing for. Meanwhile, Chastain is driving for Trackhouse, which is probably still filling in the gaps of expanding from one car to two with their acquisition of Chip Ganassi Racing. With time, Chastain could ascend to the point of being a threat for potential top 10 finishes. As for now in this young season combined with a brand new vehicle, bet on the driver from the more established team.

Bettors can also grab Almirola at +250 to win his group bet over Daniel Suarez, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Chris Buescher.

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Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com

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