Welcome to Thursday’s edition of our best NBA player props. Before getting into today’s NBA betting picks, here’s a special shoutout to Reggie Jackson for hitting the game-winner against his former team yesterday but failing to record more than one assist. Sometimes those are the breaks. Nonetheless, there are four games across the Association tonight to get back on track. Here are the two featured props from those four matchups, including Buddy Hield and Juan Toscano-Anderson.
In addition, be sure to check out the Awesemo OddsShopper Tool! Its side-by-side comparison of the NBA betting odds across all sportsbooks in the market makes it the perfect resource to guarantee that you make the value bet every single time. Now let’s get into Thursday’s NBA player props.
NBA Betting Prediction: NBA Player Props | April 15
Buddy Hield Under 16.5 Points
The NBA betting line for Hield’s total points tonight falls right in line with his season scoring average of 16.6. The market has been moving heavily on this prop, evidenced in the various discrepancies in both odds and the line itself at different sportsbooks. The Awesemo NBA Player Props Tool is sharp to playing under 16.5 points for Hield tonight.
Digging further into things, there’s good reason to get behind this play. The primary one stems from the Kings’ opponent tonight, the Suns. Phoenix exceeded expectations in the standings this season, and defense has been the main catalyst of their success. Entering tonight, Phoenix ranks fifth in scoring defense and fourth in 3-point shooting defense. Both of those metrics should be of concern for how Hield may fare this evening.
Playing time is obviously of no issue with Hield, and he has been playing well recently too. He has exceeded tonight’s NBA betting line and his season per-game scoring average in four of his last five games played. Aside from a matchup against the Jazz, each of those games came against opponents that rank far worse defensively than the Suns. If applying the same line to the two prior meetings between Phoenix and Sacramento this season, Hield would have gone under in one game and barely snuck over with 17 points in the other. The odds of him coming out ahead on the road tonight are not great. Be sure to shop odds carefully, however, with differences of a full point existing throughout the market.
Juan Toscano-Anderson Over 2.5 Assists
William Hill is currently the only U.S. sportsbook with odds on Toscano-Anderson’s total assists in tonight’s game. Yet the value on this number is simply too good to not feature it in today’s column. The Warriors, like seemingly 75% of all NBA teams, have a lengthy injury report. Concerning the frontcourt specifically, Golden State lost rookie James Wiseman for the season and remains without Eric Paschall. Kelly Oubre has also been ruled out, leaving the Warriors with the exact same situation as they had last night.
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Looking at Toscano-Anderson’s stats from the past three games with a similar injury storyline, there’s plenty of reason to believe he can exceed tonight’s NBA betting line of 2.5 assists. After working back from nagging injuries of his own, Toscano-Anderson has played at or above his per-game average for minutes in the last three contests. The added playing time has seen him record assist totals of four, three and three, respectively. While he has only supplied a total of 16 points across the three outings, he is finding other ways to impact the game.
Add it all up, and a Golden State frontcourt that remains depleted should once again see Toscano-Anderson play 20 minutes (at the very least). The additional playing time has correlated directly with him exceeding his season assist per game average of 2.2. Tonight’s opponent, the Cavaliers, aren’t exactly a feared defense either. The +150 price on this NBA betting prop cannot be passed up.
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