NBA Betting Picks: Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets | Tonight 4/21

The start of the NBA Playoffs is exactly 31 days away. Of course, in a normal year they would be getting underway right around now. Well, the past year has been anything but normal. The good news is that there are 12 games scheduled for this evening and plenty of corresponding NBA betting picks. Hunker down and enjoy what should be a fun evening of hoops action. Today’s featured NBA player props include picks on Kevon Looney, Elfrid Payton and Harrison Barnes.

In addition to breakdowns of each play, you will see images from the Awesemo OddsShopper Tool throughout this article. Be sure to check out the tool for yourself ahead of making your NBA betting picks. Its side-by-side comparison of the odds across all sportsbooks in the market makes it the perfect resource for ensuring optimal betting value. 

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Yesterday’s NBA Player Props Recap

Unfortunately, yesterday’s picks went ice cold. P.J. Washington let us down with only three rebounds; Eric Bledsoe bested his season 30-point shooting percentage by 7% and squeaked over with two made triples; and Naz Reid fell a single point shy of going over 10.5 for the game despite playing just 14 minutes. On the bright side, much like the oddball weather on this April Wednesday, 0-for-3 is a rarity in this space.

NBA Betting Prediction: NBA Player Props | April 21

Kevon Looney Over 7.5 Rebounds

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The Warriors are the Stephen Curry show. Andrew Wiggins is not near the sidekick that Klay Thompson would be, and Curry has put up unhuman numbers over the past month. Golden State is also a wasteland in terms of compelling frontcourt players outside of Draymond Green. With rookie center James Wiseman out for the year, power forward Eric Paschall remaining sidelined and Juan Toscano-Anderson having been ruled out for tonight’s game with a concussion, the Warriors will take contributions wherever they can get them at this point. Looney came up huge in Monday’s win, and he looks good again for tonight’s NBA betting picks.


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While Looney is only averaging 4.6 rebounds per game on the season, keep in mind that this comes with a season minutes average of roughly 17 per game. Given the depleted status of the frontcourt around him, Steve Kerr has had no choice but to play Looney more. The last five games have seen him play 31, 22, 28, 26 and 34 minutes, respectively. In Monday’s upset win over the 76ers, Looney not only held his own against Joel Embiid on defense down the stretch, he also came up huge on the glass with 15 rebounds. It marked his third game in the last five with double-digit boards and fourth with nine or more. 

The NBA betting odds are slowly adjusting to Looney’s increased playing time and impact, but tonight’s line of 7.5 may not be high enough. It is anyone’s guess which Wizards center Looney will primarily be contending with tonight. Scott Brooks loves to keep us guessing. But whichever of the three emerges with the most minutes, Looney should be able to come in with a solid rebounding effort once again.

Elfrid Payton Under 3.5 Assists

Elfrid Payton NBA player props NBA betting picks

No team in basketball is hotter than the Knicks right now. After notching their seventh consecutive win last night, the Knicks will look to run that streak to eight against the Hawks in the second leg of a back-to-back. Among the myriad of interesting playing time decisions Tom Thibodeau has made is the revolving door at point guard. Each of Derrick Rose, Immanuel Quickley and Payton are vying for playing time on a nightly basis. Of course, this cuts into the workload that any one of them receives. 

Elfrid Payton NBA player props NBA prediction

Given that heavy minutes are virtually impossible for any Knicks point guard, it is no surprise that the Awesemo NBA Betting Player Props Tool is keen on under 3.5 total assists for Payton tonight. The prop line itself falls right in step with Payton’s season average of exactly 3.5 assists per game. Where that can be misleading is given the fact that his minutes per game average over that same season-long sample size is 25.3. Keep in mind that Rose wasn’t even in New York for the first part of the season.

Payton has fallen short of his season minutes average in nine of the Knicks’ last 10 games. While he has continued to make plays as a passer in a reduced role, accumulating more than three assists in 18 to 22 minutes is easier said than done. Look to bet against that happening again tonight. Also note that OddsShopper shows that the market is moving and already has moved at some shops, so act quickly while 3.5 is still available.

Harrison Barnes Over 1.5 Made 3-Pointers

Harrison Barnes NBA betting picks NBA prediction

Barnes has been playing big minutes and is shooting the 3-pointer very well of late. He has exceeded his season playing time average of 36.3 minutes per game (a lot in its own right) in eight of the last 10 games. Known for being inconsistent as a scorer throughout his career, Barnes has been feeling it of late. He has made multiple triples in each of the last five games and has made three or more on three of those occasions. 

Taking all of that into account, I can appreciate the plus-money NBA betting value on over 1.5 made three’s for Barnes in tonight’s game. Not only has Barnes been playing a lot and shooting well, tonight is also the best matchup he could possibly have. The Timberwolves rank dead last in 3-point defense as a team. They are allowing opponents to make 39.6% of their shots from beyond the arc this season. Furthermore, De’Aaron Fox is listed as day-to-day on the injury report. Barnes has a great chance to connect on at least two 3’s tonight.


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