There’s nothing like some Hump Day winners, and we are aiming to lock in more than one with our featured NBA player props! With a loaded ten-game slate on tap for this evening, opportunities abound to make a little cash. As always, the Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is here to help us obtain optimal value too. Today’s NBA betting picks include props and predictions for Trevor Ariza, Norman Powell and Royce O’Neale.
Yesterday’s NBA Player Props Recap
After a disappointing Monday, we were able to get back on track with a winning Tuesday. Fred VanVleet sailed over 3.5 rebounds while Marcus Smart did stay under the lofty NBA betting line of 7.5 assists. Unfortunately, Jaden McDaniels only could muster 5 points over 26 minutes, which prevented the sweep across the board. A positive night is always welcome, though.
NBA Betting Prediction: NBA Player Props | April 28
Since joining the Heat last month, Ariza has found himself in a high-minute role. That won’t be changing anytime soon thanks to the team’s lack of depth at the four, along with an evolving injury situation. Victor Oladipo remains out indefinitely, while backcourt regulars Kendrick Nunn and Tyler Herro are both questionable to play in tonight’s matchup against the Spurs. Ariza has played 30-plus minutes in seven straight games, and that trend of playing time should continue tonight.
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The real question is whether Ariza can produce enough offensively in the minutes he is afforded to exceed the NBA betting line. Despite averaging 29.4 minutes with Miami, he has scored just 10.3 points per game. Looking at a side-by-side comparison of his game logs, it becomes clear that Ariza needs to be hitting from 3-point range in order to truly be a threat offensively. Over the last 10 games, Ariza has hit multiple 3-pointers on six occasions. Every time he has, his points total has been in double figures. In the four games he hasn’t, he has fallen short of the 10-point threshold.
Considering that the Spurs rank just 22nd in the NBA in 3-point shooting defense, tonight figures to set up as a favorable matchup for Ariza. Given the perfect correlation over the last 10 games, bettors could also opt to play over 1.5 made triples for Ariza in tonight’s game. The value difference between the two bets is negligible.
Powell shot the lights out for the better portion of this NBA season. His performance was what prompted the Trail Blazers to strike a deal for him with the Raptors at the NBA trade deadline. Unfortunately, when Powell’s shooting fails him, he offers very little else to a game box score. An 0-for-6 night yesterday saw him play just 20 total minutes. Meanwhile, Anfernee Simons tied a record by hitting nine 3-pointers in a row.
It is certainly hard to trust Powell, particularly in areas outside of scoring. The Awesemo NBA Betting Player Props Tool is in favor of a bet on Powell to finish under 2.5 assists tonight. On the season, he is averaging just 2.1 dimes per game. Even as he averages nearly 34 minutes per night, Powell has not been able to consistently dish out more than two assists. In two recent matchups against the Grizzlies, the same team that the Blazers will face tonight, Powell supplied two and four assists, respectively, in 37 and 35 minutes. It is hard to expect the same playing time on Wednesday. Powell is a player trending in the wrong direction. It seems wise to fade him when making NBA betting picks.
The Jazz backcourt will be short-handed tonight, as both Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley have been ruled out. While he won’t exactly be impacted by the injury news directly, it’s still a bit surprising to see the NBA betting line for O’Neale’s total rebounds at just 6.5. In a matchup against a bottom-five rebounding team in the Kings, one would have to believe O’Neale and Utah will have their way on the glass.
In fact, O’Neale has been rebounding the ball very well of late. He has exceeded tonight’s NBA player props line of 6.5 boards in each of the last nine games. Four times over that stretch, he has even reached double-digit rebounds. On the season, O’Neale is averaging 8.6 boards in 32 minutes. This line is juiced, but not nearly enough to be scared out of a play.
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