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How to Bet Jazz vs. Nuggets Tonight: Expert NBA Betting Picks & Player Props 1/5/22




The Jazz are a force on the road, as they have put together a nine-game winning streak away from home. They put that on the line in Denver as the short-handed Nuggets may not even have their coach Mike Malone on the bench, along with a couple of other players due to COVID. The good news for Denver is that Nikola Jokic will be out there, representing the Nuggets’ force of their own. While Denver has seen the return of Aaron Gordon, they are still down some key players around Jokic. The Jazz are expecting both Donovan Mitchell and Jordan Clarkson to play through minor injury, but Rudy Gobert is questionable with both a non-COVID illness and a back injury.

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Best NBA Betting Picks & Player Props | Jazz vs. Nuggets

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, Jan. 5, 2022
Time: 10 p.m. EST
Ball Arena — Denver Colo.
Coverage: ESPN

Jazz vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Picks & Odds Shopping

The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on the one-stop shop for value and where to place a wager. The best part is the tool is free and easy to use. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books.

Nuggets First Quarter Moneyline (+105, DraftKings)

The Jazz are sharp on the road but looked pretty sluggish in their last outing at New Orleans. Bettors can take advantage of a slow start by the Jazz, plus the Nuggets coming out with a sense of purpose. If Malone is not on the bench, as he is trending towards missing the game, then expect Denver to come out swinging, almost like they are playing for Malone in his absence. It is far from enough to win the game, but teams have come out sharp in games when they have a little extra to play for, and this would certainly fit the bill.

Mike Conley Under 4.5 Rebounds (-142, FanDuel)

The first thing to notice will be the absurd amount of juice needed to lay on this bet. It is also OddsShopper‘s strongest play of the night in this game, with an 84% chance of hitting. Even the expected ROI is at 52% despite laying -142 on the play. It stems from a low projection from Awesemo of only 2.9 rebounds, but there are a couple of ways to play this. The first would be to lay two units to win one. Awesemo’s projections back this play, and it has a high enough win percentage to take the risk. Those who would like to keep betting unit size intact, head over to the OddsShopper parlay builder and use this with whatever other games that match.

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Nikola Jokic Under 7.5 Assists (+110, PointsBet)

Jokic staying under 7.5 assists is one of the highest-ROI player prop bets on OddsShopper. The expected win rate is 73% and the expected ROI is 53%, in part due to Awesemo projecting Jokic for 6.4 assists. That full assist difference here is a confidence play, but what makes it even better is there is not much betting risk by getting +110 back. Jokic has come under this number in three straight games, and five of his last six. With more guys out and possibly Gobert, Jokic should score at will.

Donovan Mitchell Under 27.5 Points (-105, DraftKings)

Taking advantage of the free sorting tool on OddsShopper can find a healthy medium between expected win rate and expected ROI, which this Mitchell prop is. The Awesemo projection is significantly lower at 23.8 against the Nuggets, yielding a 71% expected win rate and 39% expected ROI. Mitchell returned recently to his higher scoring potential against the Pelicans, but he struggled before that against the Warriors. Denver is a better team than Mitchell just faced and may need to get some other guys involved to match the Nuggets early energy. There has been a pathway for Mitchell to hit over this number, but he should take a step back tonight.

Will Barton 5+ 3-Pointers (+660, FanDuel)

It is launch time for Barton tonight in Denver. The Nuggets are without Monte Morris, Michael Porter Jr. and Austin Rivers to name a few role players. It will not all be Jokic, and Barton has shown the propensity to shoot at will. He has six 3-point attempts in each of his last two games, but that was after a seven- and a nine-attempt night. With fewer bodies around and more focus on Jokic, Barton has the volume to get to this number. It is the long shot of the night for a reason but also bears a reasonable path to hitting. Combine Barton’s already high volume of looks with fewer players in his way, and all he has to do is knock them down.

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