If tonight’s marquee NBA game between the Celtics and Warriors can prove anything ahead of time, it’s the volatility the NBA season. The Celtics started out as one of the league’s early disappointments, and the Warriors were cruising their way back into the NBA Finals. Boston put together a 30-game stretch where they’ve climbed back just two games behind the 76ers in the loss column. Thanks to the duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, the Celtics have won seven of their last 10. Boston comes off a rare loss, as they dropped Sunday’s game to the Mavericks, but Al Horford continues to defy age and Marcus Smart is proving to be a valuable two-way player.
The Warriors are hoping last night’s win over the Wizards is a sign of them returning to early-season domination. The boost on the floor came with the return of Draymond Green, a league-leading candidate for the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year before injury. Green saw 20 minutes of action and was more than serviceable. Golden State continued to get solid performances from Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole. The most refreshing element of their victory was Stephen Curry nailing seven 3’s on his way to 47 points. Andrew Wiggins is dealing with an illness and may miss tonight’s game.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Celtics vs. Warriors
NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Celtics vs. Warriors
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Best Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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Warriors -1.5: -110 (BetMGM)
This is no knock whatsoever to what the Boston Celtics have accomplished, winning 23 of their last 30 games and returning to postseason relevance, but this line is ridiculously short. The Warriors have missed Green far more than any other player this year, and even a 25-minute night from him puts Golden State at least 4.5 points better than Boston. There may be some concern that Golden State isn’t truly “back,” or maybe it’s them coming off the first leg of the back-to-back, but this line is disrespectful to the Warriors. That is great news for OddsShopper, as it was able to find this line under 2 points, which makes it an automatic smash on the Warriors. The same trap-like feeling existed last night with the Suns, and it would be a mistake to ignore Green’s return.
Make sure you continue to check OddsShopper throughout the day for the best value and return on any NBA betting pick today. It is also important to check as Awesemo’s projections update and shift any initial data earlier in the day.
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 Assists: +135 (DraftKings)
This is another prime example of how OddsShopper can support a play with a tighter projection based off the xROI. Thompson has a couple of scoring options around him, and this number is still relatively low at 2.5 assists. Awesemo’s projection has Thompson finishing with three assists tonight, backed by a 57% chance of hitting that number. He’s gone over 2.5 assists in two his last five games, but the matchup should favor an extra pass or two from Thompson.
Jayson Tatum Under 29.5 Points: -105 (DraftKings)
OddsShopper is capitalizing on the difficult matchup Tatum will face tonight, limiting his point production. Tatum is an offensive explosion on any given night, hence the 29.5 points at most books, but Awesemo has him finishing with 26.7 points. OddsShopper has a 62% chance of Tatum slowing down, combined with a 22% xROI on the play.
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Jaylen Brown Under 3.5 Assists: +105 (DraftKings)
This player prop has one of the best combinations of xROI and xWin percentage on OddsShopper across tonight’s game. Brown is expected to narrowly finish below the above total with a three-assist night from Awesemo. OddsShopper has a 32% xROI on the play that’s backed with a 64% chance of hitting. This is a great opportunity to fade Brown, as he’s gone over this total in four straight games but correlates with Tatum needing more help from a scoring standpoint.
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